[fullmetal]

Thankfully the coronavirus family is not prone to drastic mutations in the way the flu virus is capable of performing on a near-annual basis.  I heard there was a hantavirus outbreak in China recently...and bird flu is striking chicken flocks in South Carolina.  

There was a pandemic exercise hosted by Johns Hopkins University in October of 2019 modeling a coronavirus pandemic with lower R0 and higher mortality than SARS-CoV-2 (iirc)...this was not an unforeseen event.  That, and the neglect of the pandemic playbook along with the crippling actions that blinded our public health institutions, makes this more of a tragedy rather than an unforeseen black swan event.

Google "Event 201" and "Johns Hopkins University."

[fullmetal]

Thankfully the coronavirus family is not prone to drastic mutations in the way the flu virus is capable of performing on a near-annual basis.  I heard there was a hantavirus outbreak in China recently...and bird flu is striking chicken flocks in South Carolina.  

There was a pandemic exercise hosted by Johns Hopkins University in October of 2019 modeling a coronavirus pandemic with lower R0 and higher mortality than SARS-CoV-2 (iirc)...this was not an unforeseen event.  That, and the neglect of the pandemic playbook along with the crippling actions that blinded our public health institutions, makes this more of a tragedy rather than an unforeseen black swan event.

Google "Event 201" and "Johns Hopkins University."