BC, is it a reasonable read to think this suggests the IFR might be lower than we feared but that the undetected community spread is also probably a lot lower too? If so, could one infer from the latter that we probably don't have quite as many undetected, asymptomatic cases as perhaps the Columbia pregnancy study might suggest if we extrapolated it out nationwide?
It's so striking to me how much the CFR seems to vary depending on public health infrastructures - my guess is that Iceland had such a low mortality rate because they intervened so early and probably got to the sicker patients before it was end stages. In that sense, the U.S. response of "don't go to the ER until you're practically suffocating" seems likely to be harmful from a CFR perspective?
It's so striking to me how much the CFR seems to vary depending on public health infrastructures - my guess is that Iceland had such a low mortality rate because they intervened so early and probably got to the sicker patients before it was end stages. In that sense, the U.S. response of "don't go to the ER until you're practically suffocating" seems likely to be harmful from a CFR perspective?