[Mick]

Probably not.  The number of deaths has been stable at 1500-2000 a day for deaths.  I think New York, which accounts for about 700 of those, has flattened out.  So I see us reaching 30,000 in another six days, but probably (hopefully) not 40,000.

BC

The next 6 days gave us another 15,000 (35,000 total) deaths. We doubled in 9 days. Some of these were the extra New York deaths that got added in. 
One way or another we will obviously go way past 60,000.

I think we'll go past 60K too, but I don't think we'll go _way_ past (at least not at the August date that the IMHE model, which the WH seems to quote, projects.).  I would have guessed more in the 70-90k range, until this newly added uncertainty with how states are going to let up on their restrictions.  The other thing to consider is that while most people on here are extra sensitive to a second wave, I wouldn't be surprised if a good chunk of people in America are seeing this all as being over in a couple weeks.  Or at least, mostly back to normal.  That's a bit worrisome.

We're going "way past" 60K. We'll hit 60K next week.

I think we'll hit a minimum of 220k - 320k.  1 mm - 2 mm if medical breakdown occurs or if large states reopen early.  Estimates don't include suicides or other deaths indirectly caused by COVID and/or our collective response to it.

[Mick]

Probably not.  The number of deaths has been stable at 1500-2000 a day for deaths.  I think New York, which accounts for about 700 of those, has flattened out.  So I see us reaching 30,000 in another six days, but probably (hopefully) not 40,000.

BC

The next 6 days gave us another 15,000 (35,000 total) deaths. We doubled in 9 days. Some of these were the extra New York deaths that got added in. 
One way or another we will obviously go way past 60,000.

I think we'll go past 60K too, but I don't think we'll go _way_ past (at least not at the August date that the IMHE model, which the WH seems to quote, projects.).  I would have guessed more in the 70-90k range, until this newly added uncertainty with how states are going to let up on their restrictions.  The other thing to consider is that while most people on here are extra sensitive to a second wave, I wouldn't be surprised if a good chunk of people in America are seeing this all as being over in a couple weeks.  Or at least, mostly back to normal.  That's a bit worrisome.

We're going "way past" 60K. We'll hit 60K next week.

I think we'll hit a minimum of 220k - 320k.  1 mm - 2 mm if medical breakdown occurs or if large states reopen early.  Estimates don't include suicides or other deaths indirectly caused by COVID and/or our collective response to it.