[BostonCard]

My instinct is that you are probably right.

No one will get it right, and there will certainly be things that nobody anticipated would happen.  For example, there is a tail risk that as an indirect consequence of this pandemic a major war will break out.  That being said, I think the predictions are interesting and can be helpful for offering some insight into the range of possible outcomes, especially if you look at all the predictions that will come out.

BC

[BostonCard]

My instinct is that you are probably right.

No one will get it right, and there will certainly be things that nobody anticipated would happen.  For example, there is a tail risk that as an indirect consequence of this pandemic a major war will break out.  That being said, I think the predictions are interesting and can be helpful for offering some insight into the range of possible outcomes, especially if you look at all the predictions that will come out.

BC