[stupac2]

To the point I was making above, here's 538's weekly polling roundup with some interesting tidbits about how people feel about reopening:

But there’s real concern about a resurgence of COVID-19 cases. The Yahoo News/YouGov survey found that 71 percent of Americans are more concerned about lifting restrictions too quickly than too slowly, and an identical share said they want public officials to be capable of mass testing before lifting restrictions on normal activities. Similarly, 63 percent told CBS News they are more worried about reopening too fast and causing the outbreak to worsen than reopening too slowly and hurting the economy. Those results align with other surveys that found Americans are largely content with staying at home to limit the outbreak: Reuters/Ipsos found that 72 percent said people should stay at home until health officials say it’s safe, while an AP-NORC survey suggested that most are fine with the restrictions in their area — 61 percent said they were about right and 26 percent said they didn’t go far enough. The country also seems ready for such policies to remain in effect for a while longer, as Elucd’s tracker found that 65 percent expect disruptions to last at least two more months.

The AP-NORC result is particularly staggering, 87% of people say that restrictions are about right or too lenient, only 12% say they go too far (I assume there's some rounding going on there).

This doesn't directly address "if your state lifted all restrictions would you resume normal activity?" but other surveys have and found similar numbers. You just can't run an economy on 20% participation, while those 20% could spread the infection widely quickly.

It gets back to I just don't see how you reopen meaningfully without a real test/trace program in place (or a vaccine, but we'd probably hit herd immunity by then if any of these serological tests are to be trusted).

[stupac2]

To the point I was making above, here's 538's weekly polling roundup with some interesting tidbits about how people feel about reopening:

But there’s real concern about a resurgence of COVID-19 cases. The Yahoo News/YouGov survey found that 71 percent of Americans are more concerned about lifting restrictions too quickly than too slowly, and an identical share said they want public officials to be capable of mass testing before lifting restrictions on normal activities. Similarly, 63 percent told CBS News they are more worried about reopening too fast and causing the outbreak to worsen than reopening too slowly and hurting the economy. Those results align with other surveys that found Americans are largely content with staying at home to limit the outbreak: Reuters/Ipsos found that 72 percent said people should stay at home until health officials say it’s safe, while an AP-NORC survey suggested that most are fine with the restrictions in their area — 61 percent said they were about right and 26 percent said they didn’t go far enough. The country also seems ready for such policies to remain in effect for a while longer, as Elucd’s tracker found that 65 percent expect disruptions to last at least two more months.

The AP-NORC result is particularly staggering, 87% of people say that restrictions are about right or too lenient, only 12% say they go too far (I assume there's some rounding going on there).

This doesn't directly address "if your state lifted all restrictions would you resume normal activity?" but other surveys have and found similar numbers. You just can't run an economy on 20% participation, while those 20% could spread the infection widely quickly.

It gets back to I just don't see how you reopen meaningfully without a real test/trace program in place (or a vaccine, but we'd probably hit herd immunity by then if any of these serological tests are to be trusted).