[stupac2]

Years of life lost due to the psychosocial consequences of COVID19 mitigation strategies based on Swiss data

We used years of life lost (YLL) as the main outcome measure as applied to Switzerland as an exemplar. We focused on suicide, depression, alcohol use disorder, childhood trauma due to domestic violence, changes in marital status and social isolation as these are known to increase YLL in the context of imposed restriction in social contact and freedom of movement. We stipulated a minimum duration of mitigation of 3 months based on current public health plans.

Results: The study projects that the average person would suffer 0.205 YLL due to psychosocial consequence of COVID-19 mitigation measures. However, this loss would be entirely borne by 2.1% of the population, who will suffer an average 9.79 YLL.

Conclusions: The results presented here are likely to underestimate the true impact of the mitigation strategies on YLL. However, they highlight the need for public health models to expand their scope in order to provide better estimates of the risks and benefits of mitigation.

The country-wide number doesn't seem so bad, although the percentage heavily affected is more than I would've naively guessed. I wonder what a similar number for the great recession would be, a quick google only turned up the article (which we've discussed here before) claiming that mortality during the recession actually decreased, which seems to run counter to this one.

[stupac2]

Years of life lost due to the psychosocial consequences of COVID19 mitigation strategies based on Swiss data

We used years of life lost (YLL) as the main outcome measure as applied to Switzerland as an exemplar. We focused on suicide, depression, alcohol use disorder, childhood trauma due to domestic violence, changes in marital status and social isolation as these are known to increase YLL in the context of imposed restriction in social contact and freedom of movement. We stipulated a minimum duration of mitigation of 3 months based on current public health plans.

Results: The study projects that the average person would suffer 0.205 YLL due to psychosocial consequence of COVID-19 mitigation measures. However, this loss would be entirely borne by 2.1% of the population, who will suffer an average 9.79 YLL.

Conclusions: The results presented here are likely to underestimate the true impact of the mitigation strategies on YLL. However, they highlight the need for public health models to expand their scope in order to provide better estimates of the risks and benefits of mitigation.

The country-wide number doesn't seem so bad, although the percentage heavily affected is more than I would've naively guessed. I wonder what a similar number for the great recession would be, a quick google only turned up the article (which we've discussed here before) claiming that mortality during the recession actually decreased, which seems to run counter to this one.