[Snorlax94]

Shelter-in-place is not like a short-term course of drugs. A 6 or 8 weeks course of SiP doesn't cure the disease.  It's more like a tourniquet.  As long as you have it in place, it works.  Take it off and the bleeding resumes.

Yes, assuming nothing has improved since Mar 16. But since then,
A) We are doing more than 3x tests per day than we were then, and the national goal is to double or triple the weekly testing in the next few weeks. 
B) Hopefully there is more contact tracing capability
C) Behaviors have changed. People wear masks. People stay further apart. Hopefully after all this people won’t socialize when they may have been exposed or when they feel any symptoms (cause they were in March!).
D) We’ve learned a lot and hopefully can make better decisions with better procedures. Most businesses I go to limit the number of people inside and have “spit walls” between customers and cashiers.

With ~1000 tests per day and 20-40 confirmed positive cases, that’s a 2-4% positive rate, which means we’re probably catching a much larger proportion of the actual cases.

I am not saying we should re-open now or next week, but when we are ready, and if we do things smart, we won’t necessarily be doomed to fail.

I could see SCC safely opening some outdoor construction projects, some curbside pickup businesses, and some uncrowded outdoor recreation in weeks, not months. Technically, CA already took its first small step by permitting scheduled, non-cosmetic medical procedures.

[Snorlax94]

Shelter-in-place is not like a short-term course of drugs. A 6 or 8 weeks course of SiP doesn't cure the disease.  It's more like a tourniquet.  As long as you have it in place, it works.  Take it off and the bleeding resumes.

Yes, assuming nothing has improved since Mar 16. But since then,
A) We are doing more than 3x tests per day than we were then, and the national goal is to double or triple the weekly testing in the next few weeks. 
B) Hopefully there is more contact tracing capability
C) Behaviors have changed. People wear masks. People stay further apart. Hopefully after all this people won’t socialize when they may have been exposed or when they feel any symptoms (cause they were in March!).
D) We’ve learned a lot and hopefully can make better decisions with better procedures. Most businesses I go to limit the number of people inside and have “spit walls” between customers and cashiers.

With ~1000 tests per day and 20-40 confirmed positive cases, that’s a 2-4% positive rate, which means we’re probably catching a much larger proportion of the actual cases.

I am not saying we should re-open now or next week, but when we are ready, and if we do things smart, we won’t necessarily be doomed to fail.

I could see SCC safely opening some outdoor construction projects, some curbside pickup businesses, and some uncrowded outdoor recreation in weeks, not months. Technically, CA already took its first small step by permitting scheduled, non-cosmetic medical procedures.