[fullmetal]

If I read this right, reopening would generally improve GDP by 1-3% (reduce the GDP contraction by that amount) at the cost of an additional 233k lives.  There would also be no net job losses from May til the end of June under this prediction.  A partial re-opening would result in an additional loss of 45k lives (but the article does not state what the GDP or unemployment benefits would be).

What worries more than these numbers is the trajectory of new active cases that it would take to get to these numbers.  Are we linear? (...we can deal with that)  Are we exponential? (Unacceptable.)

[fullmetal]

If I read this right, reopening would generally improve GDP by 1-3% (reduce the GDP contraction by that amount) at the cost of an additional 233k lives.  There would also be no net job losses from May til the end of June under this prediction.  A partial re-opening would result in an additional loss of 45k lives (but the article does not state what the GDP or unemployment benefits would be).

What worries more than these numbers is the trajectory of new active cases that it would take to get to these numbers.  Are we linear? (...we can deal with that)  Are we exponential? (Unacceptable.)