[magnus]

I imagine it will be 350k to 450k by the first Tuesday in November.

Unfortunately, that sounds conservative.  We're at 2k a day now.  2k a day til the first tuesday in november will get us to 430k.  I don't see how we'll get less than 2k with so many places opening up...unless we find a successful treatment.

My mistake.  I thought we were at 1,422 yesterday.
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/
https://www.nbcnews.com/health/health-ne...0-n1177936

It's hard to tell what our running average is. Single day numbers can be way off from the actual trend (note the near 3k totals earlier in the week and the under 2k tally a week ago).  Probably better to compare 7 day averages or at least compare the same weekday (TWTh this past week was more than the TWTh the previous week). I hope our running average over yesterday/today ends up being closer to 1.4k than 2k.  If TWTh this coming week can stay below 2k, that'll be a positive trend.

[magnus]

I imagine it will be 350k to 450k by the first Tuesday in November.

Unfortunately, that sounds conservative.  We're at 2k a day now.  2k a day til the first tuesday in november will get us to 430k.  I don't see how we'll get less than 2k with so many places opening up...unless we find a successful treatment.

My mistake.  I thought we were at 1,422 yesterday.
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/
https://www.nbcnews.com/health/health-ne...0-n1177936

It's hard to tell what our running average is. Single day numbers can be way off from the actual trend (note the near 3k totals earlier in the week and the under 2k tally a week ago).  Probably better to compare 7 day averages or at least compare the same weekday (TWTh this past week was more than the TWTh the previous week). I hope our running average over yesterday/today ends up being closer to 1.4k than 2k.  If TWTh this coming week can stay below 2k, that'll be a positive trend.