[needle]

 

And my definition of it “ working” is that there isn’t a big jump in deaths.

You might be interested in checking out this CDC data table, Excess Deaths Associated With COVID-19:

https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/nvss/vsrr/covid...deaths.htm

It's astounding to see in this bar chart how deaths in NYC greatly exceeded what is typical--by about 600% in the peak mortality week--then contrast that with many states that apparently* have not seen one death considered truly beyond the norm (i.e. in excess) given historical death data.

*Be sure to choose "Excess deaths with and without weighing" from the menu dropdown to get a feel for how much of the chart for each state is owed to statistical modeling (for lack of a better term) given the varied lag times states have in reporting death information.

[needle]

 

And my definition of it “ working” is that there isn’t a big jump in deaths.

You might be interested in checking out this CDC data table, Excess Deaths Associated With COVID-19:

https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/nvss/vsrr/covid...deaths.htm

It's astounding to see in this bar chart how deaths in NYC greatly exceeded what is typical--by about 600% in the peak mortality week--then contrast that with many states that apparently* have not seen one death considered truly beyond the norm (i.e. in excess) given historical death data.

*Be sure to choose "Excess deaths with and without weighing" from the menu dropdown to get a feel for how much of the chart for each state is owed to statistical modeling (for lack of a better term) given the varied lag times states have in reporting death information.