[magnus]

Update, as of May 24:

Friday, April 24
Confirmed new cases: 804
7-day average: 747.3
NOTE: The Apr. 24 number changed by less than -1% compared to what was reported on the GA state website May 17

Friday, May 8
Confirmed new cases: 557
7-day average: 515.1
Note: The May 8 number changed by less than 10% compared to what was reported May 17.

+++I feel comfortable saying that based on these numbers--more on that later--GA was definitely showing a significant decline in covid-19 cases into early May.

Friday, May 15
Confirmed new cases: 796
7-day average: 618.1
NOTE: The May 15 number changed by about 260% compared to what was reported May 17.

Friday, May 22
Confirmed new cases: 255
7-day average: 475.9
NOTE As of May 24.

+++The data so far indicates a moderate increase in covid-19 cases in Georgia since the state's businesses began opening up, reversing a trend of declining cases.

ABOUT THESE NUMBERS: Georgia is among at least a few states to admit that antibody tests were intermingled with viral tests in state data, but it's unclear to me if this would meaningfully change the data I've presented in this post.

I believe positive antibody test results were excluded from the positive totals statewide (though I'm unsure of that); the concern as I understand it is that this skewed the positivity rate that was based on a denominator that included some antibody tests as well as viral tests. 

https://apnews.com/1cb65951963252e7b4d9615f2e70d3b1

Updating the relative data that I posted last week:

If we compare this week's snapshot to last week's we may be able to pull out some trends.

This week we have:
2 days ago: 255/475.9
1 week ago: 796/618.1
2 weeks ago: 557/515.1
3 weeks ago: 724/681.9 (from graph)
4 weeks ago: 804/747.3

Last week we have:
2 days ago: 222/369.1
1 weeks ago: 507/502.7
2 weeks ago: 732/682.9 (from graph)
3 weeks ago: 809/746.6

Two weeks ago, we had (from OP):
2 days ago: 51/258.6
2 weeks ago: 797/739.4

2 days ago comparisons and 1 week ago comparisons are rising.  2 weeks ago have been heading down...but next week, expect the 2 weeks ago tally to turn back up.

So there was about 2 weeks of decline after the state reopened, and in just a week (those numbers are currently lower, but after next week's corrections, they'll likely be higher), they've bounced  back to pre-opening levels already.  Yikes.

[magnus]

Update, as of May 24:

Friday, April 24
Confirmed new cases: 804
7-day average: 747.3
NOTE: The Apr. 24 number changed by less than -1% compared to what was reported on the GA state website May 17

Friday, May 8
Confirmed new cases: 557
7-day average: 515.1
Note: The May 8 number changed by less than 10% compared to what was reported May 17.

+++I feel comfortable saying that based on these numbers--more on that later--GA was definitely showing a significant decline in covid-19 cases into early May.

Friday, May 15
Confirmed new cases: 796
7-day average: 618.1
NOTE: The May 15 number changed by about 260% compared to what was reported May 17.

Friday, May 22
Confirmed new cases: 255
7-day average: 475.9
NOTE As of May 24.

+++The data so far indicates a moderate increase in covid-19 cases in Georgia since the state's businesses began opening up, reversing a trend of declining cases.

ABOUT THESE NUMBERS: Georgia is among at least a few states to admit that antibody tests were intermingled with viral tests in state data, but it's unclear to me if this would meaningfully change the data I've presented in this post.

I believe positive antibody test results were excluded from the positive totals statewide (though I'm unsure of that); the concern as I understand it is that this skewed the positivity rate that was based on a denominator that included some antibody tests as well as viral tests. 

https://apnews.com/1cb65951963252e7b4d9615f2e70d3b1

Updating the relative data that I posted last week:

If we compare this week's snapshot to last week's we may be able to pull out some trends.

This week we have:
2 days ago: 255/475.9
1 week ago: 796/618.1
2 weeks ago: 557/515.1
3 weeks ago: 724/681.9 (from graph)
4 weeks ago: 804/747.3

Last week we have:
2 days ago: 222/369.1
1 weeks ago: 507/502.7
2 weeks ago: 732/682.9 (from graph)
3 weeks ago: 809/746.6

Two weeks ago, we had (from OP):
2 days ago: 51/258.6
2 weeks ago: 797/739.4

2 days ago comparisons and 1 week ago comparisons are rising.  2 weeks ago have been heading down...but next week, expect the 2 weeks ago tally to turn back up.

So there was about 2 weeks of decline after the state reopened, and in just a week (those numbers are currently lower, but after next week's corrections, they'll likely be higher), they've bounced  back to pre-opening levels already.  Yikes.