If the reports of Contra Costa County are accurate, that is troubling.
A suicide rate of 9.76 for Contra Costa County (pop. 1,133,247 2018) translates to about 107 suicides per year.
The county reports 37 COVID-19 deaths out of 1336 cases (1092 recovered).
The CDC has reports on current weekly US excess deaths. I didn't find any recent count of suicides.
Follow this link to see excess deaths in California. I expect the fall off in the last 3 weeks (ending May 9, as I type this on May 26) is due to delayed reporting. There do appear to be excess deaths (but below the line) beginning the week ending Mar 21 (partial SiP week). Beginning the week ending April 4 and the next 2 weeks, the deaths NOT attributed to COVID-19 hits the CDC's "excess deaths" line.
How many of those excess deaths might be suicides isn't in this data. I don't see evidence to suggest additional excess deaths due to suicide on the order of magnitude as COVID-19 deaths.
It is instructive to see the same data for NYC. Thankfully, most of the rest of the world missed that (so far!). (Note that NYC has many excess deaths that were not listed as COVID-19.)
(As reported elsewhere, I found the CDC's numbers for California COVID-19 deaths to be significantly low. The CDC data report 2485 COVID-19 deaths in California through May 16. California reported 3204 such deaths on that date. This could be due to delayed reporting of death certificates to the CDC. The 2485 corresponds closest to the numbers California reported on May 7.)
I did find this site which had good graphics for showing the latest CDC cause of death data (2017?).
I've never looked closely at cause of death stats before and found a number of surprising things.
First, I looked at California suicide rates by county. The Bay Area counties & L.A. were down at the bottom of the list at around 7 or 8 per 100K. The highest numbers (20-30) were in counties without much population.
That trend seemed to hold for many of the causes of death. Part of this could be the ages of residents (ie, do people come to retire), jobs & life style, and lack of medical care in rural areas.
By top causes of death, SCC rank (out of 58) & numbers vs #1 CA county rate (death/100K):
Heart Disease 1. Kern 251; 56. SCC 135
Cancer 1. Yuba 207; 57. SCC 140
Stroke 1. Alpine 64; 55. SCC 36
Alzheimers 1. Solano 40; 37. SCC 22
Lung Disease 1. Yuba 77; 55. SCC 27
Accidents 1. Trinity 79; 56. SCC 23
Diabetes 1. Kings 36; 21. SCC 21
Influenza-Pneumonia 1. Yolo 25; 37. SCC 17 3. Los Angeles 25
Hypertension/Renal 1. Fresno 18; 7. SCC 13
Liver Disease 1. Alpine 36; 56. SCC 9
Suicide 1. Trinity 32; 56. SCC 8 48. Contra Costa 9.76
Nephritis/Kidney 1. Alpine 22; 57. SCC 3
Parkinson's 1. Humboldt 10; 20. SCC 7
Homicide 1. Alpine 17; 43. SCC 3
Blood Poisoning 1. Alpine 19; 54: SCC 3
Life Expectancy (Male): 1. Marin 82.2 3. SCC 81.4 35. Alpine 77.0 58. Lake 73.3
If there were no more deaths from COVID-19, SCC rate would be 7.0/100K, LA County(minus Pasadena,Long Beach) 20.6; NYC 256;
Annualizing the rate of the last 2.5 months would give: SCC 16.7; LAC 99; NYC 1229
I found their US & California maps showing low/med/high rates of death per cause to be interesting.
This is an interesting pre-Covid look at top 2 causes of premature death in L.A. by service planning area (geographical region). Coronary heart disease is #1 in all but one SPA. The other top two causes across the 8 SPAs include auto vehicle crashes (1), suicide (1), cancer (2), drug OD (2), homicide (2).
A suicide rate of 9.76 for Contra Costa County (pop. 1,133,247 2018) translates to about 107 suicides per year.
The county reports 37 COVID-19 deaths out of 1336 cases (1092 recovered).
The CDC has reports on current weekly US excess deaths. I didn't find any recent count of suicides.
Follow this link to see excess deaths in California. I expect the fall off in the last 3 weeks (ending May 9, as I type this on May 26) is due to delayed reporting. There do appear to be excess deaths (but below the line) beginning the week ending Mar 21 (partial SiP week). Beginning the week ending April 4 and the next 2 weeks, the deaths NOT attributed to COVID-19 hits the CDC's "excess deaths" line.
How many of those excess deaths might be suicides isn't in this data. I don't see evidence to suggest additional excess deaths due to suicide on the order of magnitude as COVID-19 deaths.
It is instructive to see the same data for NYC. Thankfully, most of the rest of the world missed that (so far!). (Note that NYC has many excess deaths that were not listed as COVID-19.)
(As reported elsewhere, I found the CDC's numbers for California COVID-19 deaths to be significantly low. The CDC data report 2485 COVID-19 deaths in California through May 16. California reported 3204 such deaths on that date. This could be due to delayed reporting of death certificates to the CDC. The 2485 corresponds closest to the numbers California reported on May 7.)
I did find this site which had good graphics for showing the latest CDC cause of death data (2017?).
I've never looked closely at cause of death stats before and found a number of surprising things.
First, I looked at California suicide rates by county. The Bay Area counties & L.A. were down at the bottom of the list at around 7 or 8 per 100K. The highest numbers (20-30) were in counties without much population.
That trend seemed to hold for many of the causes of death. Part of this could be the ages of residents (ie, do people come to retire), jobs & life style, and lack of medical care in rural areas.
By top causes of death, SCC rank (out of 58) & numbers vs #1 CA county rate (death/100K):
Heart Disease 1. Kern 251; 56. SCC 135
Cancer 1. Yuba 207; 57. SCC 140
Stroke 1. Alpine 64; 55. SCC 36
Alzheimers 1. Solano 40; 37. SCC 22
Lung Disease 1. Yuba 77; 55. SCC 27
Accidents 1. Trinity 79; 56. SCC 23
Diabetes 1. Kings 36; 21. SCC 21
Influenza-Pneumonia 1. Yolo 25; 37. SCC 17 3. Los Angeles 25
Hypertension/Renal 1. Fresno 18; 7. SCC 13
Liver Disease 1. Alpine 36; 56. SCC 9
Suicide 1. Trinity 32; 56. SCC 8 48. Contra Costa 9.76
Nephritis/Kidney 1. Alpine 22; 57. SCC 3
Parkinson's 1. Humboldt 10; 20. SCC 7
Homicide 1. Alpine 17; 43. SCC 3
Blood Poisoning 1. Alpine 19; 54: SCC 3
Life Expectancy (Male): 1. Marin 82.2 3. SCC 81.4 35. Alpine 77.0 58. Lake 73.3
If there were no more deaths from COVID-19, SCC rate would be 7.0/100K, LA County(minus Pasadena,Long Beach) 20.6; NYC 256;
Annualizing the rate of the last 2.5 months would give: SCC 16.7; LAC 99; NYC 1229
I found their US & California maps showing low/med/high rates of death per cause to be interesting.
This is an interesting pre-Covid look at top 2 causes of premature death in L.A. by service planning area (geographical region). Coronary heart disease is #1 in all but one SPA. The other top two causes across the 8 SPAs include auto vehicle crashes (1), suicide (1), cancer (2), drug OD (2), homicide (2).
