[OutsiderFan]

Is the virus different or have the most vulnerable to it already been impacted? Also, if the reported data is correct, one could argue Italy’s lockdown measures worked well enough to really send the virus into a much weaker state. It stands to reason that fewer infections would lead to less viral load.

But we also have evidence countries that do a great job with mitigation all see similar sharply declining curves. In contrast, look at Sweden and the U.S. Both have similar daily case number development. They plateaued, but certainly aren’t going down at the rate Italy has, and the slowing death rates may be because the most vulnerable have already been exposed and already died.

Brazil is just getting absolutely obliterated right now. I don’t think any Brazilian doctors are thinking Italy was overzealous with what it did to stop spread.

[OutsiderFan]

Is the virus different or have the most vulnerable to it already been impacted? Also, if the reported data is correct, one could argue Italy’s lockdown measures worked well enough to really send the virus into a much weaker state. It stands to reason that fewer infections would lead to less viral load.

But we also have evidence countries that do a great job with mitigation all see similar sharply declining curves. In contrast, look at Sweden and the U.S. Both have similar daily case number development. They plateaued, but certainly aren’t going down at the rate Italy has, and the slowing death rates may be because the most vulnerable have already been exposed and already died.

Brazil is just getting absolutely obliterated right now. I don’t think any Brazilian doctors are thinking Italy was overzealous with what it did to stop spread.