[Farm93]

What is your source of data for that age group?
South Korea data doesn't include hospitalization and has age groups 10-20 and 20-30.
NYC has a large age group of 18-44.  In that group, case rate (per 100K) is 2200; hospitalization rate is 244; death rate is 20.
So death rate is 8% of hospitalized (0.9% of case rate).  Hospitalized is about 11% of case rate.
(Unfortunately, I don't know stats for those that develop serious, permanent injuries to their lungs or other organs.)

NYC is an outlier
SCC CA has data by age, for example. 
Can't get better than 0% for those under 30.
https://www.sccgov.org/sites/covid19/Pag...board.aspx
  
Again though...all of "us" would see that as reasonably well educated non-college athletes.  

Remember in the USA, a group of Wisconsin justices declared a Governor's order was not allowed and hours later a hundred people crowded into a bar to celebrate.  In FL some idiot decided to film a wannabe rapper video, and almost a thousand people came to the scene to be part of the festivities.  In GA, people dashed to salons to get their nails done even while the Atlanta mayor begged citizens to wait.

Those crazies just risked everything for a few hours of fun or rather trivial services.

Is it that hard to imagine others would risk quite a bit less (given their age and access to healthcare) for a competitive advantage?

Remember athletes as a group will have some that...
Inject steroids without supervision, take growth hormone sometimes for animal use, dabble in EPO, inject pain killers to postpone needed surgeries, and deny concussions to finish out a game.   That's just to name a few risky behaviors some pursue for a competitive edge.

FWIW - I just don't see how D1 athletes given their exposure to buses, airplanes, hotels, media types, trainers and fans, not to mention their fellow students on campus, will avoid getting this virus before a vaccine is available.

I am not trying to say all would do it, rather I am trying to note that there will be some that will see a very significant silver lining in testing positive today, like those 5 Bama players.    And unlike steroids or EPO or amphetamines having antibodies would not include the risk of suspension during the season.   However, those not having the antibodies might be banned from playing if they test positive for the virus during the season.

I would bet most football coaches would rather have 30 players test positive in June than have 30 players test positive in October.   Just a hunch.
And one that in other places in the world sports leaders proposed.   Do you really believe not a single coach or player has thought about this upside too?

https://motorsports.nbcsports.com/2020/0...irus-camp/

[Farm93]

What is your source of data for that age group?
South Korea data doesn't include hospitalization and has age groups 10-20 and 20-30.
NYC has a large age group of 18-44.  In that group, case rate (per 100K) is 2200; hospitalization rate is 244; death rate is 20.
So death rate is 8% of hospitalized (0.9% of case rate).  Hospitalized is about 11% of case rate.
(Unfortunately, I don't know stats for those that develop serious, permanent injuries to their lungs or other organs.)

NYC is an outlier
SCC CA has data by age, for example. 
Can't get better than 0% for those under 30.
https://www.sccgov.org/sites/covid19/Pag...board.aspx
  
Again though...all of "us" would see that as reasonably well educated non-college athletes.  

Remember in the USA, a group of Wisconsin justices declared a Governor's order was not allowed and hours later a hundred people crowded into a bar to celebrate.  In FL some idiot decided to film a wannabe rapper video, and almost a thousand people came to the scene to be part of the festivities.  In GA, people dashed to salons to get their nails done even while the Atlanta mayor begged citizens to wait.

Those crazies just risked everything for a few hours of fun or rather trivial services.

Is it that hard to imagine others would risk quite a bit less (given their age and access to healthcare) for a competitive advantage?

Remember athletes as a group will have some that...
Inject steroids without supervision, take growth hormone sometimes for animal use, dabble in EPO, inject pain killers to postpone needed surgeries, and deny concussions to finish out a game.   That's just to name a few risky behaviors some pursue for a competitive edge.

FWIW - I just don't see how D1 athletes given their exposure to buses, airplanes, hotels, media types, trainers and fans, not to mention their fellow students on campus, will avoid getting this virus before a vaccine is available.

I am not trying to say all would do it, rather I am trying to note that there will be some that will see a very significant silver lining in testing positive today, like those 5 Bama players.    And unlike steroids or EPO or amphetamines having antibodies would not include the risk of suspension during the season.   However, those not having the antibodies might be banned from playing if they test positive for the virus during the season.

I would bet most football coaches would rather have 30 players test positive in June than have 30 players test positive in October.   Just a hunch.
And one that in other places in the world sports leaders proposed.   Do you really believe not a single coach or player has thought about this upside too?

https://motorsports.nbcsports.com/2020/0...irus-camp/