BobK, sorry to hear that and I hope you are safely hunkering down!
2006Alum, although I agree with the concept of trying to time activities when things are relatively safer, and I appreciate your sharing what your best guess is, from my perspective, I worry that at least in the short-term, the local minima of cases has already passed.
We're already seeing a significant uptick in hospitalizations in SCC, about 1/3 more hospitalized in SCC that a week ago. To 2006Alum's point, one could argue that even with this uptick, the numbers in SCC are still great, and with more re-opening, things could get even worse in the months ahead.
While I share everyone's worries that more re-opening could increase the cases, my philosophy has been to shift the riskier activities further out if possible. More and better PPE is becoming available more cheaply and contract tracing is ramping up (albeit at a maddeningly slow pace), so in theory, I could see the numbers later being better than now.
But more importantly, I am hopeful that therapeutics will be a game changer. If a cocktail of drugs is proven to decrease fatalities from, say, .4% to .2%, and also decreases the odds of lifelong lung damage, then later (Sep? Oct?) could be a better time to undertake risky activities than now.
This is just a guess, but it's what I am basing my decisions on for my family and me, but I am curious to hear others’ views
2006Alum, although I agree with the concept of trying to time activities when things are relatively safer, and I appreciate your sharing what your best guess is, from my perspective, I worry that at least in the short-term, the local minima of cases has already passed.
We're already seeing a significant uptick in hospitalizations in SCC, about 1/3 more hospitalized in SCC that a week ago. To 2006Alum's point, one could argue that even with this uptick, the numbers in SCC are still great, and with more re-opening, things could get even worse in the months ahead.
While I share everyone's worries that more re-opening could increase the cases, my philosophy has been to shift the riskier activities further out if possible. More and better PPE is becoming available more cheaply and contract tracing is ramping up (albeit at a maddeningly slow pace), so in theory, I could see the numbers later being better than now.
But more importantly, I am hopeful that therapeutics will be a game changer. If a cocktail of drugs is proven to decrease fatalities from, say, .4% to .2%, and also decreases the odds of lifelong lung damage, then later (Sep? Oct?) could be a better time to undertake risky activities than now.
This is just a guess, but it's what I am basing my decisions on for my family and me, but I am curious to hear others’ views