Texas Medical Center has one of the best set of graphs that I've seen at
https://www.tmc.edu/coronavirus-updates/...ston-area/
Here is Texas Medical Center's web page on ICU beds:
https://www.tmc.edu/coronavirus-updates/...occupancy/
showing the total ICU bed occupancy & availability.
They show "no concern" up to a bit more than 1050 ICU beds in use. Moderate Concern goes to about 1475 or so, while maximum surge capacity is 2207 beds. (SCC has about 500 ICU beds total).
Normal ICU capacity: 1330 beds
Sustainable surge capacity: additional 373 beds (total 1703)
Unsustainable surge capacity: additional 504 beds (total 2207)
Today's ICU bed level is at 1298 of which about 900 (70%) are non-COVID. Still a lot of headroom, but a disease that grows exponentially can overwhelm that.
(Note: I do not know if the ICU beds listed include NICU beds or not.)
I didn't find it at the site, but if ~900 ICU beds are non-COVID, I suspect they are continuing to do quite a few procedures ("an operation begins every 3 minutes"). If that is the situation, I would guess there are a number of ICU beds that can be freed up.
If ICU needs continue to rise as they have, they start using the surge beds on Friday, and the sustainable surge beds would be full in 12 days (July 6). It appears that he unsustainable surge beds may give them another few days (week?) beyond that.
This seriously concerns me because those people needing ICU beds beginning July 6 are being exposed now. A quick shutdown might stop the ICU from overflowing.
Texas Medical Center is the "largest medical city" in the world, with more than 106,000 employees.
By the way, their % positive test rate was 3.6% June 1-7; 7.6% the next week; 10.3% last week.
PPE is in good supply.
https://www.tmc.edu/coronavirus-updates/...ston-area/
Here is Texas Medical Center's web page on ICU beds:
https://www.tmc.edu/coronavirus-updates/...occupancy/
showing the total ICU bed occupancy & availability.
They show "no concern" up to a bit more than 1050 ICU beds in use. Moderate Concern goes to about 1475 or so, while maximum surge capacity is 2207 beds. (SCC has about 500 ICU beds total).
Normal ICU capacity: 1330 beds
Sustainable surge capacity: additional 373 beds (total 1703)
Unsustainable surge capacity: additional 504 beds (total 2207)
Today's ICU bed level is at 1298 of which about 900 (70%) are non-COVID. Still a lot of headroom, but a disease that grows exponentially can overwhelm that.
(Note: I do not know if the ICU beds listed include NICU beds or not.)
I didn't find it at the site, but if ~900 ICU beds are non-COVID, I suspect they are continuing to do quite a few procedures ("an operation begins every 3 minutes"). If that is the situation, I would guess there are a number of ICU beds that can be freed up.
If ICU needs continue to rise as they have, they start using the surge beds on Friday, and the sustainable surge beds would be full in 12 days (July 6). It appears that he unsustainable surge beds may give them another few days (week?) beyond that.
This seriously concerns me because those people needing ICU beds beginning July 6 are being exposed now. A quick shutdown might stop the ICU from overflowing.
Texas Medical Center is the "largest medical city" in the world, with more than 106,000 employees.
By the way, their % positive test rate was 3.6% June 1-7; 7.6% the next week; 10.3% last week.
PPE is in good supply.