06-25-2020, 04:27 PM
By the way, here's that thread about Germany and "what are they doing right?"
https://thecardboard.org/board/showthrea...ht=germany
A few places (including a tweet by Taleb) suggested that the discrepancy might have been cause of death attribution, but I didn't find anything conclusive.
And I agree with your point. Regardless of how stringent their case definition was, their undercount is probably not significant, and is comparable or lower than a lot of other countries (where people were dying without ever getting tested). The Economist doesn't have Germany but COVID-19 accounted for about 2/3 of overall excess deaths in Spain, Italy, and the Netherlands, 4/5 in the UK and New York, and excess deaths were more or less fully accounted for in France, Belgium, and Sweden. Excess deaths are woefully underaccounted for in Turkey, Indonesia, and Austria.
https://www.economist.com/graphic-detail...-countries
BC
https://thecardboard.org/board/showthrea...ht=germany
A few places (including a tweet by Taleb) suggested that the discrepancy might have been cause of death attribution, but I didn't find anything conclusive.
And I agree with your point. Regardless of how stringent their case definition was, their undercount is probably not significant, and is comparable or lower than a lot of other countries (where people were dying without ever getting tested). The Economist doesn't have Germany but COVID-19 accounted for about 2/3 of overall excess deaths in Spain, Italy, and the Netherlands, 4/5 in the UK and New York, and excess deaths were more or less fully accounted for in France, Belgium, and Sweden. Excess deaths are woefully underaccounted for in Turkey, Indonesia, and Austria.
https://www.economist.com/graphic-detail...-countries
BC