(07-05-2020, 11:07 AM)M T Wrote: Considering Texas didn't require masks until a couple of days ago, I presume this survey took place before that and reflects opinions of that environment.
To make sense of these, note these factors:Personally, I'd judge schools to be very high risk for < 10yo (9-12 months/yr at 6 hours a day, too often at less than 6', possibly without mask some of the time, careless behavior, inability to comprehend symptoms, likelihood of child to infect others, versus transitive bubbles and low infectability)
- activities have to be done without masks (eating, swimming (incl. at the beach))
- whether the activity is indoors or out (eating at a restaurant) (indoors also extends duration to include exposure from those there earlier)
- how many people one is exposed to (going to a mall) Bubbles help, but less so when they are transitive.
- duration of exposure
- how much interaction is within 6' (barber, hair salon)
- whether careless behavior is likely or unlikely (bars)
- whether the activity is controlled or uncontrolled (beaches)
- possible exposure to infected individuals (doctor's offices)
- likelihood of individual to be infectable (children's exposure)
- risk to individual if they do get infected, and secondarily, risk of individual to infect others.
- shared equipment (amusement parks)
Frankly, I don't understand why "going to a beach" is more risky that "eating at a restaurant (outdoors)". If you mean going to Spring Break and partying with a few tens of thousands of strangers, then it should be up there with going to sports stadiums. Beaches are usually in the sun, and often have a prevailing wind and are hot (reduced stability of the virus). I haven't been to the beach in Texas in decades, but having another group within 10' would feel very cramped, where I would be surprised if restaurants really keep tables 6' apart. They might have some slight breeze, but not much. I would generally associate restaurants as being used at night and not particularly hot.
It is interesting to see what California allows versus where it is on this list. The very highest risk is "Going to bars". Maybe bars in California are different than in Texas, but California state allowed this a while back (but closed them for 18 counties). Disneyland (high risk) was going to open July 17 but has backed off that. Moderate-high risk eating indoors is allowed by California except those 18 counties. Even once-conservative Santa Clara County apparently is allowing (in ~2 weeks) high risk working out at a gym, moderate-high barber shop and hair salon, moderate-high weddings & funerals.
The state has already denied approval for SCC’s revised orders even though they are no less restrictive than other nearby counties.
