07-05-2020, 06:10 PM
We don't, but I wish we had a quantitative measure of the relative risks.
For instance, I believe that going out in Santa Clara County now, you have at least twice the risk that each person you encounter is infected relative to the April peak. If you encounter (have a meeting, or eat in the same restaurant, or ...) 10 people now vs 10 people in April, it is approximately 1000x more likely that at least one of them is infected.
One moral should be to minimize contacts even more than before. So, activities that put you in the vicinity of more people are more and more risky as the active infection rate goes up. That barbecue in the backyard with the next door couple is 4x as risky now, but the eating indoors at a restaurant may be relatively more risky.
Being dependent on your & their masks as offering protection only goes so far.
For instance, I believe that going out in Santa Clara County now, you have at least twice the risk that each person you encounter is infected relative to the April peak. If you encounter (have a meeting, or eat in the same restaurant, or ...) 10 people now vs 10 people in April, it is approximately 1000x more likely that at least one of them is infected.
One moral should be to minimize contacts even more than before. So, activities that put you in the vicinity of more people are more and more risky as the active infection rate goes up. That barbecue in the backyard with the next door couple is 4x as risky now, but the eating indoors at a restaurant may be relatively more risky.
Being dependent on your & their masks as offering protection only goes so far.