07-16-2020, 06:38 PM
As pointed out by BC and stupac, I truly doubt this means 31% of the Florida children actually have covid. If they did, that would actually probably be good news, since while Miami's ICUs are starting to fill up, the number of deaths they have divided by a third of Florida's population implies a tiny IFR.
You don't order a coronavirus test on a kid unless they're sick, or they have known exposures. Testing kids is a bit of PITA. I doubt many asymptomatic or kids with sniffles are included in the denominator here. 31% positivity in any population subgroup certainly is indicative of an uncontrolled outbreak in Florida though.
The thing with schools, is it seems in areas with low coronavirus prevalence, they may be able to function pretty safely. That is not most of the US right now. So the simple answer is science will say opening schools is safe when our overall coronavirus numbers are more like Europe or most of Asia than they are now. And then in a way that maximizes distance, ventilation, masks, and keeps class cohorts from mixing.
You don't order a coronavirus test on a kid unless they're sick, or they have known exposures. Testing kids is a bit of PITA. I doubt many asymptomatic or kids with sniffles are included in the denominator here. 31% positivity in any population subgroup certainly is indicative of an uncontrolled outbreak in Florida though.
The thing with schools, is it seems in areas with low coronavirus prevalence, they may be able to function pretty safely. That is not most of the US right now. So the simple answer is science will say opening schools is safe when our overall coronavirus numbers are more like Europe or most of Asia than they are now. And then in a way that maximizes distance, ventilation, masks, and keeps class cohorts from mixing.