07-17-2020, 06:46 AM
(07-16-2020, 05:46 PM)teejers1 Wrote: Fundamentally, I disagree with the notion that "it's hopeless" - which is what so many articles on this topic insinuate. No answers, proposed solutions, just more alarmism/doomsdayism. Menlo does not believe that in-school education is hopeless; neither does Woodside Priory . . . to name two high schools on the Peninsula that I believe are planning to have kids on campus this fall.
I interpret those schools' position as believing it is hopeless to control the outbreak, so go Swedish. (Surely they can't continue to claim that kids don't get the disease. After all, since it is a PITA to test them, we must know they aren't getting it.) More infection now is the price to pay for getting kids out of the house.
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As for the OP link, the link indicated that 31% of all kids tested were positive.
The COVID data for Florida indicate that there are 10,813 cases of 5-14yo. That's 3.5% of the total of 311,640 cases.
FL demographics indicate there are 1,127,362 5-14yo in the state, so that nearly 1% of them have tested positive.
FL total population is 18,379,601. 5-14yo represent 6.1% of the population.
If the testing of kids is as representative of the spread as the testing of the adults, that would suggest kids would be 57% as likely to get the disease as adults (considering the environments of both since March).
But, if the kids are under-tested, then that factor of 1.75x less likely to get the disease is an overestimate.
Anyone who thinks kids are not going to get the disease at school and then take it home needs to think again.
(Yeah, I hear them switching the argument to "Well, we don't know that adults can get it from kids." Where have I heard that kind of positioning before? CDC?)
