07-21-2020, 09:39 AM
(07-15-2020, 11:30 PM)BostonCard Wrote: Best estimates I've seen are between 0.5% (if you use confirmed COVID-19 deaths) to about 1% if you use excess all-cause mortality in areas where rigorous sampling has been used to calculate the seroprevalence using a random sampling method (Spain is the best study). Because of the strong age gradient, to a large degree IFR will be very dependent on the age distribution of the infected population.
BC
Same numbers in this WSJ article, 0.5% to 1.0% IFR.
https://www.wsj.com/articles/how-deadly-...1595323801
Audaces fortuna iuvat
