08-18-2020, 04:02 AM
You guys do realize the baseball skunkworks make all the decisions and the manager just explains them to players and the media, right?
The sharps don’t believe it is statistically possible for a 9th inning reliever to fail to protect a lead three times in a row, no matter who it is. And they are right. The Giants have managed to pull off feats that are near statistically impossible in their games since Friday.
I remember a few years ago reading how closers were overrated because the average MLB bullpen arm can get the final out of a game with a 1 run lead with close to 90% efficiency and it goes up to 99.7% with a 4 run lead. Just do the math on what the probability of three straight blown 1 run lead saves is and it’s 1/1000. We can be relatively sure it won’t happen again because that would be a 1/10,000 probability. The Giants have broken the numbers geeks in charge of the 9th inning pitching decisions.
Like I said, they need better players because the pitching staff is absolute trash. I personally believe they are actually worse than they are showing because the Giants know how bad they are and are trying to get them the best matchups to limit their weaknesses and give the team enough to win games. The problem of course is the bullpen arms all suck. Can you imagine if the starters were worse?
The sharps don’t believe it is statistically possible for a 9th inning reliever to fail to protect a lead three times in a row, no matter who it is. And they are right. The Giants have managed to pull off feats that are near statistically impossible in their games since Friday.
I remember a few years ago reading how closers were overrated because the average MLB bullpen arm can get the final out of a game with a 1 run lead with close to 90% efficiency and it goes up to 99.7% with a 4 run lead. Just do the math on what the probability of three straight blown 1 run lead saves is and it’s 1/1000. We can be relatively sure it won’t happen again because that would be a 1/10,000 probability. The Giants have broken the numbers geeks in charge of the 9th inning pitching decisions.
Like I said, they need better players because the pitching staff is absolute trash. I personally believe they are actually worse than they are showing because the Giants know how bad they are and are trying to get them the best matchups to limit their weaknesses and give the team enough to win games. The problem of course is the bullpen arms all suck. Can you imagine if the starters were worse?