[BostonCard]

In addition to UNC and Notre Dame, MSU has also suspended in person classes.

https://news.google.com/articles/CAIiEMk...id=US%3Aen

BC

Random comments:

1.  In none of the stories/articles linked was there mention of any of the positive testees being sick, let alone requiring hospitalization.  Don't you think that is odd (or at least, poor reporting)?  Do you think because that is just assumed with people 18-25 years old (yeah, neither do I).  Regardless, I now have come to expect that lack of reporting from mainstream sources, so I'm actually surprised when an article observes that the person(s) testing positive are asymptomatic and/or did not require hospitalization . . . ].

Yes, it's a bit of a frustration that the data is not reported.  I'm not sure if it is bad reporting or simply that the data is not collected (as in, is there any way to link positive tests to hospitalization data), but it certainly would be useful.  If no one is getting sick, then changes in the schools may not be necessary; on the other hand, if a small but finite proportion of the students are hospitalized (or worse) it might be useful to encourage behavioral changes.

That being said, there is enough data about age specific mortality and death to be able to make an educated estimate.



https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-nco...index.html

Note that the data is based on a denominator of all persons in the US (cumulative hospitalization and death rate by age), not the proportion of positive tests.  If you had the age stratified positive tests you could do the calculation.

You could also run the risk calculator here: https://riskcalc.org/COVID19/

A 21-year old non-Hispanic non-smoking male with no risk factors and no symptoms other than known exposure to COVID-19 has a 1% probability of being hospitalized, so it seems that in these outbreaks you are talking about at most a handful of students needing hospitalization for COVID-19. 

BC

[BostonCard]

In addition to UNC and Notre Dame, MSU has also suspended in person classes.

https://news.google.com/articles/CAIiEMk...id=US%3Aen

BC

Random comments:

1.  In none of the stories/articles linked was there mention of any of the positive testees being sick, let alone requiring hospitalization.  Don't you think that is odd (or at least, poor reporting)?  Do you think because that is just assumed with people 18-25 years old (yeah, neither do I).  Regardless, I now have come to expect that lack of reporting from mainstream sources, so I'm actually surprised when an article observes that the person(s) testing positive are asymptomatic and/or did not require hospitalization . . . ].

Yes, it's a bit of a frustration that the data is not reported.  I'm not sure if it is bad reporting or simply that the data is not collected (as in, is there any way to link positive tests to hospitalization data), but it certainly would be useful.  If no one is getting sick, then changes in the schools may not be necessary; on the other hand, if a small but finite proportion of the students are hospitalized (or worse) it might be useful to encourage behavioral changes.

That being said, there is enough data about age specific mortality and death to be able to make an educated estimate.



https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-nco...index.html

Note that the data is based on a denominator of all persons in the US (cumulative hospitalization and death rate by age), not the proportion of positive tests.  If you had the age stratified positive tests you could do the calculation.

You could also run the risk calculator here: https://riskcalc.org/COVID19/

A 21-year old non-Hispanic non-smoking male with no risk factors and no symptoms other than known exposure to COVID-19 has a 1% probability of being hospitalized, so it seems that in these outbreaks you are talking about at most a handful of students needing hospitalization for COVID-19. 

BC