[BostonCard]

Here's your periodic reminder that four years ago yesterday the Access Hollywood tape came out, and obits for Donald Trump's campaign were being written.

Biden currently leads in polls by more than Clinton ever did, but there is a path for Trump that doesn't involve the above:

1) Trump narrows the lead by a few points from about 10 points nationally to about 6 points nationally
2) The polls are about as wrong in swing states as they were in 2016 (while they were nationally pretty accurate, they were off by about 5 points in PA and MI and about 7 points in Wisconsin).
3) Trump again wins a majority of the electoral college despite losing the popular vote.

BC

[BostonCard]

Here's your periodic reminder that four years ago yesterday the Access Hollywood tape came out, and obits for Donald Trump's campaign were being written.

Biden currently leads in polls by more than Clinton ever did, but there is a path for Trump that doesn't involve the above:

1) Trump narrows the lead by a few points from about 10 points nationally to about 6 points nationally
2) The polls are about as wrong in swing states as they were in 2016 (while they were nationally pretty accurate, they were off by about 5 points in PA and MI and about 7 points in Wisconsin).
3) Trump again wins a majority of the electoral college despite losing the popular vote.

BC