[Goose]

Dr. Cody, or any health official, should need to explain their logic.  Though it is hard here as COVID is still largely unknown to everyone.  That means every decision is based on projections, models or guestimates.  Still, an official should be expected/required to outline why they want to implement a path different than state and CDC guidelines might permit.



It is worth noting that at the state level we have been here before.    In May/June Gavin Newsom was under pressure to open things up.  Elon Musk, Disney, and others were all complaining that CA needed to be more like TX, FL and GA.   Newsom relented and allowed counties to open things up more quickly, but the SF Bay Area counties were slower to open.



Literally weeks later the Southern California counties were seeing very troubling summer surges, the same trends observed in TX, FL and GA, while the SF Bay Area had it relatively easy.  That was the summer when coronaviruses don't fare well.   We are now moving into the fall/winter.  Time to get serious..



Trump wins, Newsom will cave and Dr. Cody will have no cover.  Trump will give us fans in the stands in the way he has given the BigTen their football.



Biden wins, Newsom has backing and will have revised statewide mandates at least as strict as Dr. Cody is currently advocating.  



Chuckle I guess, but it really is that easy IMHO.  The real key for CA policies is Newsom.   Newsom seems to want to do more to fight COVID but is trying to avoid the wrath of POTUS45 given POTUS45 often threatens unrelated funds if he senses disloyalty (see CA fires).



That said, even with the current system we might get to Dr. Cody's approach soon enough since most of the state's biggest counties will turn purple if current trends in other states spreads to CA.   The IHME projections suggest that in a few weeks Dr. Cody's stance won't be the constraint, the constraint will be the expanding COVID case rates turning the urban counties in CA to the purple status.

I am not so sure I agree that Newsom "wants" to be more strict but fears POTUS45. I think Newsom desperately wants to preserve the State's prosperity, because the programs he wants to deliver rely on having a good tax base. Like everybody else, he is caught between wanting a good economy and COVID-19 safety constraints. As you point out, there are many unknowns, and everybody is guessing to some extent. FWIW, I think Newsom responded more to Garcetti than to Trump last summer. LA wanted no part of what Northern California had done. They still don't

[Goose]

Dr. Cody, or any health official, should need to explain their logic.  Though it is hard here as COVID is still largely unknown to everyone.  That means every decision is based on projections, models or guestimates.  Still, an official should be expected/required to outline why they want to implement a path different than state and CDC guidelines might permit.



It is worth noting that at the state level we have been here before.    In May/June Gavin Newsom was under pressure to open things up.  Elon Musk, Disney, and others were all complaining that CA needed to be more like TX, FL and GA.   Newsom relented and allowed counties to open things up more quickly, but the SF Bay Area counties were slower to open.



Literally weeks later the Southern California counties were seeing very troubling summer surges, the same trends observed in TX, FL and GA, while the SF Bay Area had it relatively easy.  That was the summer when coronaviruses don't fare well.   We are now moving into the fall/winter.  Time to get serious..



Trump wins, Newsom will cave and Dr. Cody will have no cover.  Trump will give us fans in the stands in the way he has given the BigTen their football.



Biden wins, Newsom has backing and will have revised statewide mandates at least as strict as Dr. Cody is currently advocating.  



Chuckle I guess, but it really is that easy IMHO.  The real key for CA policies is Newsom.   Newsom seems to want to do more to fight COVID but is trying to avoid the wrath of POTUS45 given POTUS45 often threatens unrelated funds if he senses disloyalty (see CA fires).



That said, even with the current system we might get to Dr. Cody's approach soon enough since most of the state's biggest counties will turn purple if current trends in other states spreads to CA.   The IHME projections suggest that in a few weeks Dr. Cody's stance won't be the constraint, the constraint will be the expanding COVID case rates turning the urban counties in CA to the purple status.

I am not so sure I agree that Newsom "wants" to be more strict but fears POTUS45. I think Newsom desperately wants to preserve the State's prosperity, because the programs he wants to deliver rely on having a good tax base. Like everybody else, he is caught between wanting a good economy and COVID-19 safety constraints. As you point out, there are many unknowns, and everybody is guessing to some extent. FWIW, I think Newsom responded more to Garcetti than to Trump last summer. LA wanted no part of what Northern California had done. They still don't