I entered my exact statistics for eleven different racial mixes into the COVID19 calculator. Here's the results for COVID associated death in rising order of mortality:
Absolute risk (a) Absolute risk with no risk factors (b) Relative risk (a/b)
COVID associated death 0.07% 1 in 1477 0.01% 1 in 7812 5.2891 White English or Irish or other white
COVID associated death 0.07% 1 in 1477 0.01% 1 in 7812 5.2891 Ethnicity not Stated
COVID associated death 0.11% 1 in 932 0.02% 1 in 4950 5.3119 Indian
COVID associated death 0.12% 1 in 803 0.02% 1 in 4255 5.3021 Pakistani
COVID associated death 0.14% 1 in 733 0.03% 1 in 3891 5.3074 Other Asian
COVID associated death 0.14% 1 in 726 0.03% 1 in 3846 5.2962 White and Black African mix
COVID associated death 0.14% 1 in 726 0.03% 1 in 3846 5.2962 White and Asian Mix
COVID associated death 0.14% 1 in 726 0.03% 1 in 3846 5.2962 Other Ethnic Group including Arab
COVID associated death 0.15% 1 in 651 0.03% 1 in 3448 5.2966 Bangladeshi
COVID associated death 0.17% 1 in 599 0.03% 1 in 3175 5.3016 Chinese
COVID associated death 0.21% 1 in 488 0.04% 1 in 2584 5.2972 Black African
Interesting that the COVID19 calculator equates all three of their White varieties as the same across 2.2 million entries; white/english, white/irish, white/other. Exact same risk. Also exactly the same as "Ethnicity not stated". Interesting because both are at the far end of the table. Does that mean only caucasian folks wouldn't state their ethnicity?
Secondly, white/black African mix, white/Asian Mix and Other Ethnic Group including Arab were the exact same odds. How likely is that in a 2.2 million person study?
Black Africans are about three times as likely as whites to die from COVID19, assuming all other risk factors the same. That's odd. And finally, Chinese were second most likely to die behind black Africans. That seems unlikely.
Here are the same statistics for COVID19-associated hospital admissions among the same eleven ethnic groups (really 13 because I lumped all whites into the same category given that their statistics were exactly the same). These are the results:
Absolute risk (a) Absolute risk with no risk factors (b) Relative risk (a/b)
COVID associated hospital admission 0.29% 1 in 350 0.08% 1 in 1294 3.696 White English or Irish or other white
COVID associated hospital admission 0.29% 1 in 350 0.08% 1 in 1294 3.696 Ethnicity not Stated
COVID associated hospital admission 0.43% 1 in 233 0.12% 1 in 860 3.6973 Chinese
COVID associated hospital admission 0.49% 1 in 205 0.13% 1 in 756 3.6936 Bangladeshi
COVID associated hospital admission 0.57% 1 in 174 0.16% 1 in 643 3.6934 Pakistani
COVID associated hospital admission 0.60% 1 in 165 0.16% 1 in 611 3.6944 White and Black African mix
COVID associated hospital admission 0.60% 1 in 165 0.16% 1 in 611 3.6944 White and Asian Mix
COVID associated hospital admission 0.60% 1 in 165 0.16% 1 in 611 3.6944 Other Ethnic Group including Arab
COVID associated hospital admission 0.61% 1 in 163 0.17% 1 in 604 3.6934 Indian
COVID associated hospital admission 0.65% 1 in 153 0.18% 1 in 566 3.6931 Other Asian
COVID associated hospital admission 0.74% 1 in 135 0.20% 1 in 500 3.6923 Black African
The most interesting results here was that race-associated COVID hospitalizations tended to be relatively different among the rates. Chinese people had the second highest death rate, but the third lowest hospitalization rate. Indian people had the third lowest death rate, but the third highest hospitalization rate.
And again, the exact same rate was experienced by the White groups as the "Ethnicity Not Stated" groups. Apparently only white folks didn't cite their ethnicity. Ditto the white/black African mix, white/Asian mix and Other ethnic group including Arab. All three, exact same COVID hospitalization rates.
Absolute risk (a) Absolute risk with no risk factors (b) Relative risk (a/b)
COVID associated death 0.07% 1 in 1477 0.01% 1 in 7812 5.2891 White English or Irish or other white
COVID associated death 0.07% 1 in 1477 0.01% 1 in 7812 5.2891 Ethnicity not Stated
COVID associated death 0.11% 1 in 932 0.02% 1 in 4950 5.3119 Indian
COVID associated death 0.12% 1 in 803 0.02% 1 in 4255 5.3021 Pakistani
COVID associated death 0.14% 1 in 733 0.03% 1 in 3891 5.3074 Other Asian
COVID associated death 0.14% 1 in 726 0.03% 1 in 3846 5.2962 White and Black African mix
COVID associated death 0.14% 1 in 726 0.03% 1 in 3846 5.2962 White and Asian Mix
COVID associated death 0.14% 1 in 726 0.03% 1 in 3846 5.2962 Other Ethnic Group including Arab
COVID associated death 0.15% 1 in 651 0.03% 1 in 3448 5.2966 Bangladeshi
COVID associated death 0.17% 1 in 599 0.03% 1 in 3175 5.3016 Chinese
COVID associated death 0.21% 1 in 488 0.04% 1 in 2584 5.2972 Black African
Interesting that the COVID19 calculator equates all three of their White varieties as the same across 2.2 million entries; white/english, white/irish, white/other. Exact same risk. Also exactly the same as "Ethnicity not stated". Interesting because both are at the far end of the table. Does that mean only caucasian folks wouldn't state their ethnicity?
Secondly, white/black African mix, white/Asian Mix and Other Ethnic Group including Arab were the exact same odds. How likely is that in a 2.2 million person study?
Black Africans are about three times as likely as whites to die from COVID19, assuming all other risk factors the same. That's odd. And finally, Chinese were second most likely to die behind black Africans. That seems unlikely.
Here are the same statistics for COVID19-associated hospital admissions among the same eleven ethnic groups (really 13 because I lumped all whites into the same category given that their statistics were exactly the same). These are the results:
Absolute risk (a) Absolute risk with no risk factors (b) Relative risk (a/b)
COVID associated hospital admission 0.29% 1 in 350 0.08% 1 in 1294 3.696 White English or Irish or other white
COVID associated hospital admission 0.29% 1 in 350 0.08% 1 in 1294 3.696 Ethnicity not Stated
COVID associated hospital admission 0.43% 1 in 233 0.12% 1 in 860 3.6973 Chinese
COVID associated hospital admission 0.49% 1 in 205 0.13% 1 in 756 3.6936 Bangladeshi
COVID associated hospital admission 0.57% 1 in 174 0.16% 1 in 643 3.6934 Pakistani
COVID associated hospital admission 0.60% 1 in 165 0.16% 1 in 611 3.6944 White and Black African mix
COVID associated hospital admission 0.60% 1 in 165 0.16% 1 in 611 3.6944 White and Asian Mix
COVID associated hospital admission 0.60% 1 in 165 0.16% 1 in 611 3.6944 Other Ethnic Group including Arab
COVID associated hospital admission 0.61% 1 in 163 0.17% 1 in 604 3.6934 Indian
COVID associated hospital admission 0.65% 1 in 153 0.18% 1 in 566 3.6931 Other Asian
COVID associated hospital admission 0.74% 1 in 135 0.20% 1 in 500 3.6923 Black African
The most interesting results here was that race-associated COVID hospitalizations tended to be relatively different among the rates. Chinese people had the second highest death rate, but the third lowest hospitalization rate. Indian people had the third lowest death rate, but the third highest hospitalization rate.
And again, the exact same rate was experienced by the White groups as the "Ethnicity Not Stated" groups. Apparently only white folks didn't cite their ethnicity. Ditto the white/black African mix, white/Asian mix and Other ethnic group including Arab. All three, exact same COVID hospitalization rates.
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