[Goose]

When this hit in March, people for the most part were willing to SIP under the assumption that it would be short term. 9 months in, fatigue sets in.  Understandably. With severe consequences.


I think we have a right to know the specifics.  Without them, I think the public is not served. And I think the result is more and more will tune out.  (Beyond the basics of masks, social distancing, avoiding large gatherings, washing hands.)

Lex24, I don't think they know the specifics. I really don't think anybody has been looking, or if they have, they haven't found anything. I think that is true here and in Europe. The only thing we know for sure is that we can bring the case load down to acceptable by an SIP, but no Western nation has really managed to keep it there after lifting restrictions. Korea, NZ,Taiwan etc basically drove cases down to zero (or more correctly never had them rise to massive community spread), and by careful management have kept COVID-19 under control. We didn't do that, Europe didn't do that. We all have theories about what we should do now, but the fact is nobody knows what balance of regulations will drive Reff down to below 1.0 and keep it there. We are trying things, as are other jurisdictions. What works today may not work tomorrow. Going to be a rocky six months or so, best case.

[Goose]

When this hit in March, people for the most part were willing to SIP under the assumption that it would be short term. 9 months in, fatigue sets in.  Understandably. With severe consequences.


I think we have a right to know the specifics.  Without them, I think the public is not served. And I think the result is more and more will tune out.  (Beyond the basics of masks, social distancing, avoiding large gatherings, washing hands.)

Lex24, I don't think they know the specifics. I really don't think anybody has been looking, or if they have, they haven't found anything. I think that is true here and in Europe. The only thing we know for sure is that we can bring the case load down to acceptable by an SIP, but no Western nation has really managed to keep it there after lifting restrictions. Korea, NZ,Taiwan etc basically drove cases down to zero (or more correctly never had them rise to massive community spread), and by careful management have kept COVID-19 under control. We didn't do that, Europe didn't do that. We all have theories about what we should do now, but the fact is nobody knows what balance of regulations will drive Reff down to below 1.0 and keep it there. We are trying things, as are other jurisdictions. What works today may not work tomorrow. Going to be a rocky six months or so, best case.