12-01-2020, 05:30 AM
Newsom doesn't say that is is all that California is getting in mid-Dec. I don't know, but maybe it is the initial batch (see below) that will then be followed up with the rest of the initial allocation if all goes well. (Both California and Washington have indicated their initial delivery is about 42% of their expected share of 6.4M doses)
Regarding the 6.4M doses. General Perna didn't directly specify that it Pfizer vaccine, but it was clear he was talking about the initial delivery, which will be Pfizer. Moderna initial delivery may be a week later. The 6.4M doses (initial doses only, not counting 2nd doses) is a best estimate he made on Nov. 20 of how many doses would be available at the time of the first opportunity to ship. (34:45 in the video). It is possible that the estimate of vaccines available has changed.
Regarding per capita distribution plan. At 45:00 in the video, the Secretary indicated clearly that the distribution, from the beginning, would be allocated on the basis of the number of people over the age of 18. Moreover, he explained why it was that way. Also, I will note that the term was "people", not "citizens".
A recent news article and press conference video at the Operation Warp Speed site may give some hints for the other doses.
Nov 24: "Once the Food and Drug Administration authorizes the vaccines from pharmaceutical companies Pfizer and Moderna, they will be distributed to any location in America that the state approves as the provider, he said. Officials are now working with each jurisdiction to plan and then figure out allocation within the states.
"After issuing the initial batch, called the "safety stock," officials will monitor providers to ensure they're following the guidelines, he said. Once there is confidence that the process is being followed correctly, more vaccines will be made available to them.
"Pfizer is implementing a very aggressive approach to figuring out how to get their product out to the administration sites, he said. ....
"There are 54 locations where this training is taking place, he said. As Pfizer has worked with those sites "we see growing confidence in everybody [who is] using it.
"the Moderna variety will make it easier to get to more rural areas."
In the press conference video (2:00) there is a mention of 64 jurisdictions.
The "54 locations" in the text was, I believe, a mistake. The General spoke of 4, then 10 locations and a "remaining 54 locations" so I suspect it was 64 locations, one for each jurisdiction.
The estimate remains of 40M doses by end of December. (I presume that is Pfizer + Moderna)
Elsewhere, I found this
Los Angeles isn't called out separately as a major metropolitan city for this purpose. It shouldn't matter as the State of California will obviously direct the appropriate allocation to L.A. (Treating DC as its a jurisdiction makes sense. But why San Antonio (#7 city in US))
Some math. The Census Bureau indicates in 2019, CA had 39,512,223 (July 1, 2019) of which 77.5% were 18 and over. That's 30,662,000.
The US was 328,239,523 on that date of which 77.7% were 18 and over. That's 255,042,000. So, CA is 12.02% of the population. 12.02% of the 6.4M doses would be 769,429 doses. (327K is 42.5% of 769,429)
Washington State is receiving 62,400 doses initially and 200,000 of Pfizer by end of Dec. (5,954,846 18+, or 2.335%, so due 149,430 doses of the 6.4M; 934K doses of the 40M Moderna + Pfizer) 62,400 is 41.7% of 149,430.
Regarding the 6.4M doses. General Perna didn't directly specify that it Pfizer vaccine, but it was clear he was talking about the initial delivery, which will be Pfizer. Moderna initial delivery may be a week later. The 6.4M doses (initial doses only, not counting 2nd doses) is a best estimate he made on Nov. 20 of how many doses would be available at the time of the first opportunity to ship. (34:45 in the video). It is possible that the estimate of vaccines available has changed.
Regarding per capita distribution plan. At 45:00 in the video, the Secretary indicated clearly that the distribution, from the beginning, would be allocated on the basis of the number of people over the age of 18. Moreover, he explained why it was that way. Also, I will note that the term was "people", not "citizens".
A recent news article and press conference video at the Operation Warp Speed site may give some hints for the other doses.
Nov 24: "Once the Food and Drug Administration authorizes the vaccines from pharmaceutical companies Pfizer and Moderna, they will be distributed to any location in America that the state approves as the provider, he said. Officials are now working with each jurisdiction to plan and then figure out allocation within the states.
"After issuing the initial batch, called the "safety stock," officials will monitor providers to ensure they're following the guidelines, he said. Once there is confidence that the process is being followed correctly, more vaccines will be made available to them.
"Pfizer is implementing a very aggressive approach to figuring out how to get their product out to the administration sites, he said. ....
"There are 54 locations where this training is taking place, he said. As Pfizer has worked with those sites "we see growing confidence in everybody [who is] using it.
"the Moderna variety will make it easier to get to more rural areas."
In the press conference video (2:00) there is a mention of 64 jurisdictions.
The "54 locations" in the text was, I believe, a mistake. The General spoke of 4, then 10 locations and a "remaining 54 locations" so I suspect it was 64 locations, one for each jurisdiction.
The estimate remains of 40M doses by end of December. (I presume that is Pfizer + Moderna)
Elsewhere, I found this
Quote:For Operation Warp Speed, the 64 jurisdictions include the following:Additionally, five federal agencies will be treated much like jurisdictions when it comes to allocations. Those include Department of Defense, Department of State, Bureau of Prisons, Department of Veterans Affairs, and the Indian Health Service.
- 50 states
- 8 U.S. territories (Guam, Puerto Rico, US Virgin Islands, American Samoa, North Mariana Islands, Palau, Micronesia, Marshall Islands)
- 6 major metropolitan cities (Chicago, Houston, San Antonio, New York City, Washington D.C.)
Los Angeles isn't called out separately as a major metropolitan city for this purpose. It shouldn't matter as the State of California will obviously direct the appropriate allocation to L.A. (Treating DC as its a jurisdiction makes sense. But why San Antonio (#7 city in US))
Some math. The Census Bureau indicates in 2019, CA had 39,512,223 (July 1, 2019) of which 77.5% were 18 and over. That's 30,662,000.
The US was 328,239,523 on that date of which 77.7% were 18 and over. That's 255,042,000. So, CA is 12.02% of the population. 12.02% of the 6.4M doses would be 769,429 doses. (327K is 42.5% of 769,429)
Washington State is receiving 62,400 doses initially and 200,000 of Pfizer by end of Dec. (5,954,846 18+, or 2.335%, so due 149,430 doses of the 6.4M; 934K doses of the 40M Moderna + Pfizer) 62,400 is 41.7% of 149,430.
