[SamuelMcF]

Sure, I knew about the scholarships last year and I'm not saying that one person is more likely than the next. It just seems surprising that last year was a one-off blip given that other Pac-12 schools have plenty of folks who have either transferred or are in the portal:

ASU: 13
Arizona: 11
Cal: 9
Colorado: 8
Oregon: 10
OSU: 11
Stanford: 2
UCLA: 8
USC: 6
Utah: 12
Washington: 5
WSU: 19 (!)

Many of these conference members have incoming transfers, so this is not a projection of net gains or losses via transfers. 

Back to Stanford, of the 11 players listed as 5th or 6th year below, only about 50% are projected starters. So I would expect that a few more players would be on the lookout for greener pastures. I'm more than happy to be wrong in this regard.

The exodus this year is not through the portal, but through guys "declaring for the draft" when they aren't that caliber of player.

Your 2 is likely missing Caleb Phillips (Hawaii) and Kyle McCombs (no destination yet). That said, Boles, Phillips, and McCombs are all walk-ons but IMO should be counted as I'm sure some of the other schools' transfers above are walk-ons too. Osiris St. Brown is off the roster but not in the portal, which is interesting.

If some of said 5th/6th year guys were indeed "on the lookout for greener pastures," they would've already entered the portal. Offseason workouts have started.

[SamuelMcF]

Sure, I knew about the scholarships last year and I'm not saying that one person is more likely than the next. It just seems surprising that last year was a one-off blip given that other Pac-12 schools have plenty of folks who have either transferred or are in the portal:

ASU: 13
Arizona: 11
Cal: 9
Colorado: 8
Oregon: 10
OSU: 11
Stanford: 2
UCLA: 8
USC: 6
Utah: 12
Washington: 5
WSU: 19 (!)

Many of these conference members have incoming transfers, so this is not a projection of net gains or losses via transfers. 

Back to Stanford, of the 11 players listed as 5th or 6th year below, only about 50% are projected starters. So I would expect that a few more players would be on the lookout for greener pastures. I'm more than happy to be wrong in this regard.

The exodus this year is not through the portal, but through guys "declaring for the draft" when they aren't that caliber of player.

Your 2 is likely missing Caleb Phillips (Hawaii) and Kyle McCombs (no destination yet). That said, Boles, Phillips, and McCombs are all walk-ons but IMO should be counted as I'm sure some of the other schools' transfers above are walk-ons too. Osiris St. Brown is off the roster but not in the portal, which is interesting.

If some of said 5th/6th year guys were indeed "on the lookout for greener pastures," they would've already entered the portal. Offseason workouts have started.