06-13-2021, 07:34 PM
(06-13-2021, 04:12 PM)Stanford2020 Wrote:(06-12-2021, 01:58 PM)82lsju Wrote: the highest O/U for anyone in the conference is 9 so looks like Vegas sees no Pac-12 team in the CFP...
the four highest O/U are
11.5 for Alabama and Clemson
11 for Ohio State and Oklahoma
Keep in mind Vegas isn't in the business of "predicting", Vegas is in the business of making money. Lines are set where they think they can get equal action on either side of the play. If they set a PAC12 team at 11 or 11.5, 90% of bets (or more) would pound the under because the PAC12 is notorious for beating itself up. Whereas Bama, Clemson, OSU, and OU have slappy fans who will come in thinking they'll be perfect and realists will say "eh they'll lose at least one".
That said I also have the over for Stanford. K-State and Vanderbilt are both fairly favorable non-conference matchups, all be them both Power 5, and I have a hard time not seeing us win at least 3-4 of UCLA, Arizona State, Wazzu, Washington, Oregon State, and Kal. Along with sneaking one out on U$C, Oregon, or Utah in typical PAC12 fashion, four is mighty low.
I wonder how many people actually bet the O/U on Stanford wins for the season....
Eric
"the older we get the better we were"