[bl82]

Let's assume that this group has the best crowd-sourced insight into Stanford football and represents the true wisdom of the crowds. Let's also assume that we also have a home bias that we grapple with. Armed with that information and the predictions we make, what is an accurate representation of our home bias? Right now we are calling this one just about a Stanford -1 game or a tossup. With a current line of KSU -2.5, are we a 3.5 - 4.0 point home bias crowd? Is that consistent over the course of a season or from year to year? Do you think our home bias shrinks after a loss or an ugly game? Does it grow and sometimes put us way out on a limb after a good game or two in a row? Curious to hear what others think. I know we *always* overreact to the last data point.

[bl82]

Let's assume that this group has the best crowd-sourced insight into Stanford football and represents the true wisdom of the crowds. Let's also assume that we also have a home bias that we grapple with. Armed with that information and the predictions we make, what is an accurate representation of our home bias? Right now we are calling this one just about a Stanford -1 game or a tossup. With a current line of KSU -2.5, are we a 3.5 - 4.0 point home bias crowd? Is that consistent over the course of a season or from year to year? Do you think our home bias shrinks after a loss or an ugly game? Does it grow and sometimes put us way out on a limb after a good game or two in a row? Curious to hear what others think. I know we *always* overreact to the last data point.