[winflop]

The same ESPN that gives Stanford 45% vs UCLA gives win probabilities of 25% vs Oregon and 40% vs ASU.

That results in a 75% chance of winning at least one game and a 25% chance of going winless in all three.

Actually, it's an 18.5% chance of 0-3, 49.5% of 1-2, 27.5% of 2-1, and 4.5% of 3-0 based on those probabilities.

Given the injuries, I think 45% is too high. I think the only way Stanford wins tomorrow is in a track meet.

[winflop]

The same ESPN that gives Stanford 45% vs UCLA gives win probabilities of 25% vs Oregon and 40% vs ASU.

That results in a 75% chance of winning at least one game and a 25% chance of going winless in all three.

Actually, it's an 18.5% chance of 0-3, 49.5% of 1-2, 27.5% of 2-1, and 4.5% of 3-0 based on those probabilities.

Given the injuries, I think 45% is too high. I think the only way Stanford wins tomorrow is in a track meet.