10-07-2021, 04:52 PM
This game is really simple.
ASU avg. rush: 5.5
ASU avg. rush allowed: 3.6
ASU basically +2 YPC net
Stanford avg. rush: 4.2
Stanford avg. rush allowed: 5
Stanford basically -.8 YPC net
Translation: ASU will dominate the LOS.
Even if you think Stanford might be better passing, nope.
ASU is averaging 9.8 YPA
ASU is allowing 5.8 YPA
ASU is averaging + 4 net YPA
Stanford is averaging 7.8 YPA
Stanford is allowing 6.3 YPA
Stanford is averaging + 1.5 net YPA
OK, how about PER, might Stanford have an edge there? Almost, but not quite.
ASU PER: 163.15
ASU PER Defense: 106.05
ASU +57
Stanford PER: 151.66
Stanford Pass Efficiency Defense: 115.71
Stanford +36
ASU 3rd down conversions: 51.2%
ASU 3rd down conversion Defense: 36%
Stanford 3rd down conversions: 35.6%
Stanford 3rd down conversion defense: 39%
By every measure of Offense vs. Defense, ASU is superior to Stanford. There is basically no chance Stanford can win, even without counting the fact it is a short week road game.
ASU avg. rush: 5.5
ASU avg. rush allowed: 3.6
ASU basically +2 YPC net
Stanford avg. rush: 4.2
Stanford avg. rush allowed: 5
Stanford basically -.8 YPC net
Translation: ASU will dominate the LOS.
Even if you think Stanford might be better passing, nope.
ASU is averaging 9.8 YPA
ASU is allowing 5.8 YPA
ASU is averaging + 4 net YPA
Stanford is averaging 7.8 YPA
Stanford is allowing 6.3 YPA
Stanford is averaging + 1.5 net YPA
OK, how about PER, might Stanford have an edge there? Almost, but not quite.
ASU PER: 163.15
ASU PER Defense: 106.05
ASU +57
Stanford PER: 151.66
Stanford Pass Efficiency Defense: 115.71
Stanford +36
ASU 3rd down conversions: 51.2%
ASU 3rd down conversion Defense: 36%
Stanford 3rd down conversions: 35.6%
Stanford 3rd down conversion defense: 39%
By every measure of Offense vs. Defense, ASU is superior to Stanford. There is basically no chance Stanford can win, even without counting the fact it is a short week road game.