[BostonCard]

TOTAL WIN PROBABILITY: 4.3245

I think you mean expected number of wins, because one can’t have a probability greater than 1.  Also, 4 significant digits?

Four seems like a reasonable estimate, but to be honest, everything from 1 to 6 is probably in play.  There are a lot of “toss ups” in there, though those are hardly independent.  There’s a decent likelihood that Connelly overestimates the team, especially on defense, which I expect will be atrocious.  Thus, I would take the under on four, but who knows.

BC

[BostonCard]

TOTAL WIN PROBABILITY: 4.3245

I think you mean expected number of wins, because one can’t have a probability greater than 1.  Also, 4 significant digits?

Four seems like a reasonable estimate, but to be honest, everything from 1 to 6 is probably in play.  There are a lot of “toss ups” in there, though those are hardly independent.  There’s a decent likelihood that Connelly overestimates the team, especially on defense, which I expect will be atrocious.  Thus, I would take the under on four, but who knows.

BC