[msqueri]

Good thoughts Chupacabra. I'm going to try to be less mechanical and strictly wins-focused than this. For the next year or two the process you lay out at the end of your post is more important than total wins. Moreover, the sheer number of wins only conveys so much information and our evaluation will have to be more qualitative than this.

If we're going to use any particular metric, to me it should be Sagarin because that way we're doing our best to account for schedule and scope of wins/losses while maintaining some comparability from year to year. 2022 was #87. Given 2022 being one of the most veteran teams in the nation and 2023 being one of the least, in my view if 2023 can even be in the ballpark of 2022 that is sufficient to maintain some hope. Give me a top 90 team and I'll still have faith in Taylor. I think this is an important point because that could be a three win team, a four win team, or even a five win team. The sheer win total does not tell you whether the team has gotten better, especially given our schedule being easier. It's possible (unlikely but possible) to win more games than we did last year and be a worse team.

I think it is most sound for us to bring to bear as nuanced and qualitative evaluation of the next few years as we can. It's not about sheer win total. Unless 2023 is 6+ wins (in which case that's obviously a success) or 0-2 wins (in which case it's obviously a failure).

[msqueri]

Good thoughts Chupacabra. I'm going to try to be less mechanical and strictly wins-focused than this. For the next year or two the process you lay out at the end of your post is more important than total wins. Moreover, the sheer number of wins only conveys so much information and our evaluation will have to be more qualitative than this.

If we're going to use any particular metric, to me it should be Sagarin because that way we're doing our best to account for schedule and scope of wins/losses while maintaining some comparability from year to year. 2022 was #87. Given 2022 being one of the most veteran teams in the nation and 2023 being one of the least, in my view if 2023 can even be in the ballpark of 2022 that is sufficient to maintain some hope. Give me a top 90 team and I'll still have faith in Taylor. I think this is an important point because that could be a three win team, a four win team, or even a five win team. The sheer win total does not tell you whether the team has gotten better, especially given our schedule being easier. It's possible (unlikely but possible) to win more games than we did last year and be a worse team.

I think it is most sound for us to bring to bear as nuanced and qualitative evaluation of the next few years as we can. It's not about sheer win total. Unless 2023 is 6+ wins (in which case that's obviously a success) or 0-2 wins (in which case it's obviously a failure).