Thread moved on from McKee in the time I was digging into some data on college QB performance so I could wrap my head around this a bit better, but in case interesting to people here's something I've been putting together:
As we think about QB production, the circumstances in which they did or did not succeed in college, and how it would be prudent for NFL teams to evaluate accordingly, I'll share the career best Total QBR ratings of the NFL QBs drafted since 2012 from when they were in college. I think this can put into perspective McKee's lack of production, as demonstrated by his career best year of 2021 having a Total QBR of 65.1. What I found:
1. Mac Jones - 96.1
2. Kyler Murray - 95.4
3. Joe Burrow - 94.9
4. Tua Tagovailoa - 94.8
5. Russell Wilson - 94.1
6. Andrew Luck - 93.8
7. Jalen Hurts - 92.7
8. Baker Mayfield - 92.3
9. Justin Fields - 92.1
10. Marcus Mariota - 91.3
10. Johnny Manziel - 91.3
12. Deshaun Watson - 90.9
13. Jameis Winston - 90.2
14. Matt Corral - 89.9
15. Zach Wilson - 88.6
16. Kyle Trask - 88.5
17. Aaron Murray - 88.1
18. Brandon Allen - 88.0
19. Trevor Lawrence - 87.3
19. Kevin Hogan - 87.3
21. Chad Kelly - 86.9
22. Zach Mettenberger - 86.8
22. Bryce Petty - 86.8
24. Mason Rudolph - 86.7
25. Dak Prescott - 86.5
26. Sam Darnold - 86.2
26. Jarrett Stidham - 86.2
28. Lamar Jackson - 85.4
29. Jake Fromm - 85.1
30. AJ McCarron - 84.9
31. Dwayne Haskins - 84.8
32. Jared Goff - 84.2
33. Brett Hundley - 84.1
34. Teddy Bridgewater - 84.0
34. Ian Book - 84.0
36. Mitchell Trubisky - 83.6
37. Robert Griffin III - 83.5
38. Brandon Doughty - 82.9
39. Brandon Weeden - 82.6
40. Patrick Mahomes - 82.5
41. Connor Cook - 82.3
42. Matt Barkley - 82.2
43. Drew Lock - 82.0
43. Jake Rudock - 82.0
45. Tajh Boyd - 81.8
46. Trace McSorley - 81.5
47. Kenny Pickett - 81.2
47. Nathan Peterman - 81.2
49. Landry Jones - 81.1
50. Will Grier - 81.0
51. Desmond Ridder - 80.9
52. Danny Etling - 80.8
53. Ryan Finley - 80.4
53. Davis Webb - 80.4
55. Justin Herbert - 80.1
56. Joshua Dobbs - 79.8
57. Blake Bortles - 79.6
58. Cody Kessler - 79.5
59. Geno Smith - 79.4
60. Sam Howell - 79.3
61. Deshone Kizer - 79.1
62. Brock Purdy - 78.8
63. Malik Willis - 78.7
63. Chandler Harnish - 78.7
65. Bailey Zappe - 78.6
66. Logan Woodside - 77.9
67. Sam Ehlinger - 77.6
67. Mike White - 77.6
67. David Fales - 77.6
70. Davis Mills - 77.4
71. Derek Carr - 76.6
72. Gardner Minshew - 76.5
73. Skylar Thompson - 76.2
74. Sean Mannion - 75.9
75. Paxton Lynch - 74.9
76. Kellen Mond - 74.9
77. Tyler Wilson - 74.7
78. EJ Manuel - 74.5
79. Nate Stanley - 74.2
80. Kirk Cousins - 74.1
81. Josh Allen - 73.8
81. Nate Sudfeld - 73.8
83. Logan Thomas - 73.3
84. Ryan Lindley - 73.0
85. Daniel Jones - 72.3
86. Luke Falk - 72.0
87. Keith Wenning - 71.6
88. Cole McDonald - 70.8
89. Brock Osweiler - 70.7
90. Nick Foles - 70.2
91. Clayton Thorson - 70.0
92. Ryan Tannehill - 69.7
92. CJ Beathard - 69.7
94. Brad Kaaya - 69.4
94. Garrett Grayson - 69.4
96. Jacoby Brissett - 68.9
97. James Morgan - 68.8
98. Jeff Driskel - 68.4
98. Josh Rosen - 68.4
100. Jake Luton - 68.2
101. Ryan Nassib - 68.0
102. Jordan Love - 67.8
103. Sean Renfree - 66.2
104. Jacob Eason - 65.9
105. Tommy Stevens - 65.3
106. Tom Savage - 64.2
107. Garrett Gilbert - 62.8
108. Tanner Lee - 61.6
109. Alex McGough - 61.5
110. BJ Daniels - 61.0
111. Trevor Siemian - 60.7
112. Zac Dysert - 60.3
113. Christian Hackenberg - 58.3
114. Mike Glennon - 57.8
115. Cardale Jones - 56.1
N/A (Non-FBS so not measurable by Total QBR): BJ Coleman, Brad Sorensen, Jimmy Garoppolo, Carson Wentz, Kyle Lauletta, Easton Stick, Ben DiNucci (60.5 before transferring but drafted on basis of later seasons), Trey Lance, Chris Oladokun
If I had a vote for an NFL franchise, McKee would be straight-up undraftable. Not a single spot in the draft I'd want him at.
As we think about QB production, the circumstances in which they did or did not succeed in college, and how it would be prudent for NFL teams to evaluate accordingly, I'll share the career best Total QBR ratings of the NFL QBs drafted since 2012 from when they were in college. I think this can put into perspective McKee's lack of production, as demonstrated by his career best year of 2021 having a Total QBR of 65.1. What I found:
1. Mac Jones - 96.1
2. Kyler Murray - 95.4
3. Joe Burrow - 94.9
4. Tua Tagovailoa - 94.8
5. Russell Wilson - 94.1
6. Andrew Luck - 93.8
7. Jalen Hurts - 92.7
8. Baker Mayfield - 92.3
9. Justin Fields - 92.1
10. Marcus Mariota - 91.3
10. Johnny Manziel - 91.3
12. Deshaun Watson - 90.9
13. Jameis Winston - 90.2
14. Matt Corral - 89.9
15. Zach Wilson - 88.6
16. Kyle Trask - 88.5
17. Aaron Murray - 88.1
18. Brandon Allen - 88.0
19. Trevor Lawrence - 87.3
19. Kevin Hogan - 87.3
21. Chad Kelly - 86.9
22. Zach Mettenberger - 86.8
22. Bryce Petty - 86.8
24. Mason Rudolph - 86.7
25. Dak Prescott - 86.5
26. Sam Darnold - 86.2
26. Jarrett Stidham - 86.2
28. Lamar Jackson - 85.4
29. Jake Fromm - 85.1
30. AJ McCarron - 84.9
31. Dwayne Haskins - 84.8
32. Jared Goff - 84.2
33. Brett Hundley - 84.1
34. Teddy Bridgewater - 84.0
34. Ian Book - 84.0
36. Mitchell Trubisky - 83.6
37. Robert Griffin III - 83.5
38. Brandon Doughty - 82.9
39. Brandon Weeden - 82.6
40. Patrick Mahomes - 82.5
41. Connor Cook - 82.3
42. Matt Barkley - 82.2
43. Drew Lock - 82.0
43. Jake Rudock - 82.0
45. Tajh Boyd - 81.8
46. Trace McSorley - 81.5
47. Kenny Pickett - 81.2
47. Nathan Peterman - 81.2
49. Landry Jones - 81.1
50. Will Grier - 81.0
51. Desmond Ridder - 80.9
52. Danny Etling - 80.8
53. Ryan Finley - 80.4
53. Davis Webb - 80.4
55. Justin Herbert - 80.1
56. Joshua Dobbs - 79.8
57. Blake Bortles - 79.6
58. Cody Kessler - 79.5
59. Geno Smith - 79.4
60. Sam Howell - 79.3
61. Deshone Kizer - 79.1
62. Brock Purdy - 78.8
63. Malik Willis - 78.7
63. Chandler Harnish - 78.7
65. Bailey Zappe - 78.6
66. Logan Woodside - 77.9
67. Sam Ehlinger - 77.6
67. Mike White - 77.6
67. David Fales - 77.6
70. Davis Mills - 77.4
71. Derek Carr - 76.6
72. Gardner Minshew - 76.5
73. Skylar Thompson - 76.2
74. Sean Mannion - 75.9
75. Paxton Lynch - 74.9
76. Kellen Mond - 74.9
77. Tyler Wilson - 74.7
78. EJ Manuel - 74.5
79. Nate Stanley - 74.2
80. Kirk Cousins - 74.1
81. Josh Allen - 73.8
81. Nate Sudfeld - 73.8
83. Logan Thomas - 73.3
84. Ryan Lindley - 73.0
85. Daniel Jones - 72.3
86. Luke Falk - 72.0
87. Keith Wenning - 71.6
88. Cole McDonald - 70.8
89. Brock Osweiler - 70.7
90. Nick Foles - 70.2
91. Clayton Thorson - 70.0
92. Ryan Tannehill - 69.7
92. CJ Beathard - 69.7
94. Brad Kaaya - 69.4
94. Garrett Grayson - 69.4
96. Jacoby Brissett - 68.9
97. James Morgan - 68.8
98. Jeff Driskel - 68.4
98. Josh Rosen - 68.4
100. Jake Luton - 68.2
101. Ryan Nassib - 68.0
102. Jordan Love - 67.8
103. Sean Renfree - 66.2
104. Jacob Eason - 65.9
105. Tommy Stevens - 65.3
106. Tom Savage - 64.2
107. Garrett Gilbert - 62.8
108. Tanner Lee - 61.6
109. Alex McGough - 61.5
110. BJ Daniels - 61.0
111. Trevor Siemian - 60.7
112. Zac Dysert - 60.3
113. Christian Hackenberg - 58.3
114. Mike Glennon - 57.8
115. Cardale Jones - 56.1
N/A (Non-FBS so not measurable by Total QBR): BJ Coleman, Brad Sorensen, Jimmy Garoppolo, Carson Wentz, Kyle Lauletta, Easton Stick, Ben DiNucci (60.5 before transferring but drafted on basis of later seasons), Trey Lance, Chris Oladokun
If I had a vote for an NFL franchise, McKee would be straight-up undraftable. Not a single spot in the draft I'd want him at.