05-29-2023, 01:14 PM
(05-29-2023, 11:49 AM)CTcard Wrote: Initial thoughts on the bracket.
Over Seeded:
Auburn (#13 overall) - complained about them a few posts above.
Indiana State (#14 overall) - sympathetic to them, but not clear their record deserves a hosting spot
Oklahoma - 11-13, 31-26 overall; #7 in Big 12. Making the tournament seems to be a pure RPI call over teams like Kansas State, Arizona State, USC, Notre Dame (just among the big 4 conferences).
Under Seeded:
Campbell - seem to be best mid-major, but only 3rd highest mid-major seed.
UConn - nominally the second worst #2 seed (#31 overall) despite most of the polls ranking them just outside the top ten much of the year. Even RPI has them at #22 (which is not friendly to northeast teams, as well as western).
Hosed (left out):
UC San Diego - won the Big West but cannot appear in the tournament due to four year transition rule (transitioning from Division II to Division I)
UC Irvine - best team in the Big West despite finishing fourth. In most mock brackets as of yesterday.
ASU - maybe hosed by themselves. Went into Stanford series (third last weekend) in first place in Pac 12. Then lost 8 of last 11 to finish the season.
USC - 17-13 (4th in conference), 34-23-1 overall. But it's SC so I am not so upset.
Stanford Regional:
The field doesn't look too tough depending on just what to make of A&M.
SJSU - tied for first in WAC at 18-11, 31-25 overall. Won the WAC tournament going 4-1. #104 RPI. #93 ISR (BoydsWorld). 6.5 runs per game. Gave up 6.3 runs/game. Stanford played no WAC teams this year, a little surprising. SJSU has 3 main starting pitchers whose ERAs range from 4.5 to 5.8 and WHIPs from 1.47 to 1.56.
Fullerton - 20-10, 31-22. #65 RPI. #53 ISR. Got the Big West automatic bid despite finishing tied for second. UC San Diego wasn't eligible and they took 2 of 3 from Northridge who tied them in the standings. Stanford took 2 of 3 from Fullerton to start the season though got blown out in the first game and had the crazy 7 runs in the ninth and 8 runs in the tenth to win the rubber match. Fullerton seemed to be throwing their season away when they lost 8 in a row in May but rallied to win 3 of last 4 to get the Big West automatic bid by the skin of their teeth.
Texas AM - Last SEC team to make it in, but still a 2 seed and nominally #25 overall. 14-16, 36-25 overall. RPI #29, ISR #31. Coming off a big run in the SEC tournament where they went 4-2 overall and lost in the championship game. The key question is are they on a roll or are they exhausted after playing 6 tournament games in 6 days. Averaging 7.0 runs per game despite a 0.269 AVG - pretty good power with 81 HRs. Allowing 5.8 runs per game with a 5.57 ERA. They don't appear to have a star starting pitcher, but lots of guys around 5 ERA. Their best pitcher seems to have Matthews' role from last year, with 62 innings pitched but 0 starts and a 3.63 ERA.
Stanford: 38-16; RPI #15, ISR #9; 8.6 runs/gm, 102 HRs, 0.949 OPS; 5.99 ERA, 1.57 WHIP
Texas AM: 36-25; RPI #29, ISR #31; 7.0 runs/gm, 82 HRs, 0.840 OPS; 5.57 ERA, 1.59 WHIP
Fullerton: 31-22; RPI #65, ISR #53; 6.1 runs/gm, 34 HRs, 0.772 OPS; 4.94 ERA, 1.56 WHIP
SJSU: 31-25; RPI #104, ISR #93; 6.5 runs/gm, 60 HRs, 0.828 OPS; 5.76 ERA, 1.61 WHIP
Outstanding write up, thanks for taking the time.
FYI San Jose State is in the Mountain West Conference (MWC). Hard to keep track the moving around to difference conferences over the years for San Jose St., Fresno St. and San Diego St.
