[Goose]

I wouldn't be so quick to discount the possibility that the looming NCAA investigation makes him more likely to stay at Michigan. It's pretty clear that Harbaugh is adamant that almost anything the NCAA does is wrongheaded and borderline malicious. He speaks frequently about wanting a better CFB that includes payment of players. Is it such a leap to think that he might view the NCAA case as a cause celebre that can ultimately advance what he views as a better version of CFB oversight?

This is pure speculation on my part. But so is most of the stuff that's been said about Harbs lately.

Agree we are all speculating. In fact part of my speculation is that Harbs himself hasn't decided what he will do. It depends on what his options really are, which the public doesn't actually know.

As far as the looming NCAA investigation regarding impermissible scouting, it is difficult to imagine why Harbaugh would believe it can ever result in in improving his credibility and influence toward creating a "better" CFB.  Almost no matter how it comes out, he was either party to cheating or negligent in supervising those who did cheat. How does that help him? The investigation of impermissible contact case and subsequently lying about it is done. The only thing remaining is the announcement of the penalties. Again, hard to see how these things help his position of influence in college football. I guess he could believe that it does, but I can't see how. It is also true that Michigan has made it very clear there are limitations to how much the University has his back with the NCAA.

IMO it is much more probable that JH believes that the NCAA will not go after and seriously sanction a coach who has just won the national championship. That scenario isn't impossible.  JH may decide to ride it out, as he believes it won't be onerous. It appears that admitting to having lied to the NCAA is a showstopper for JH based on what he has said. If that requirement disappears, JH may be willing to absorb some sanctions and remain at Michigan.

[Goose]

I wouldn't be so quick to discount the possibility that the looming NCAA investigation makes him more likely to stay at Michigan. It's pretty clear that Harbaugh is adamant that almost anything the NCAA does is wrongheaded and borderline malicious. He speaks frequently about wanting a better CFB that includes payment of players. Is it such a leap to think that he might view the NCAA case as a cause celebre that can ultimately advance what he views as a better version of CFB oversight?

This is pure speculation on my part. But so is most of the stuff that's been said about Harbs lately.

Agree we are all speculating. In fact part of my speculation is that Harbs himself hasn't decided what he will do. It depends on what his options really are, which the public doesn't actually know.

As far as the looming NCAA investigation regarding impermissible scouting, it is difficult to imagine why Harbaugh would believe it can ever result in in improving his credibility and influence toward creating a "better" CFB.  Almost no matter how it comes out, he was either party to cheating or negligent in supervising those who did cheat. How does that help him? The investigation of impermissible contact case and subsequently lying about it is done. The only thing remaining is the announcement of the penalties. Again, hard to see how these things help his position of influence in college football. I guess he could believe that it does, but I can't see how. It is also true that Michigan has made it very clear there are limitations to how much the University has his back with the NCAA.

IMO it is much more probable that JH believes that the NCAA will not go after and seriously sanction a coach who has just won the national championship. That scenario isn't impossible.  JH may decide to ride it out, as he believes it won't be onerous. It appears that admitting to having lied to the NCAA is a showstopper for JH based on what he has said. If that requirement disappears, JH may be willing to absorb some sanctions and remain at Michigan.