10-11-2024, 11:01 AM
(10-11-2024, 09:15 AM)BostonCard Wrote: From the newsletter, the win was a pretty high leverage one:
Quote:While it’s not exactly in “must-win” territory, San Francisco already has a lot of postseason leverage riding on that game. Their playoff odds would rise to 64 percent with a victory — or fall to 33 percent with a defeat, putting them even deeper into unlikely-playoff-bid territory on our chart above.
BC
What kills me is that the 49ers have a net -21 days rest disadvantage (a record) coming on the heels of a net -20 days rest disadvantage in 2023. Eight of their 17 games this season, they will have fewer rest days than their opponents, also the most in NFL history. There has never been a team with seven games at a rest disadvantage, and there hasn't been a team with six games at a rest disadvantage since 1998, more than a quarter-century ago. They have to play three short-week road games (including last night), most in the NFL.
From week 7 on, the 49ers play the NFL's 4th most difficult schedule of opponents, and during that span, they are at a rest disadvantage in 6 of those 11 games:
Week 7 vs. Kansas City when KC is coming off their bye week
Week 8 vs. Dallas when DAL is coming off their bye week
Week 11 vs. Seattle when SEA is coming off their bye week
Week 13 vs. Buffalo when BUF is coming off their bye week
Week 14 vs. Chicago when CHI is coming off a mini-bye
Week 18 vs. Arizona when ARI has extra rest with SF coming off MNF
Audaces fortuna iuvat
