10-06-2026, 04:15 PM
I can think of several reasons why the NFL and college results would not track.
College players are younger than NFL players. Their body clocks are different than older adults. Teens tend to stay up later and sleep in later- probably something anyone who has been a teen or has a teen may be familiar with.
College gametimes are more varied as well. The NFL doesn't play at 9am PST like we just did against WF.
College players are mostly professionals now, but presumably they still have some classes and homework that could make keeping an optimized sleep schedule more difficult.
I am trying to get some better data. What I have found so far suggests west coast teams playing early on the east coast fail to cover the spread at a very high rate, 65-70%. That flips for east coast teams playing late on the west coast. But that seems like a messy way to measure this.
College players are younger than NFL players. Their body clocks are different than older adults. Teens tend to stay up later and sleep in later- probably something anyone who has been a teen or has a teen may be familiar with.
College gametimes are more varied as well. The NFL doesn't play at 9am PST like we just did against WF.
College players are mostly professionals now, but presumably they still have some classes and homework that could make keeping an optimized sleep schedule more difficult.
I am trying to get some better data. What I have found so far suggests west coast teams playing early on the east coast fail to cover the spread at a very high rate, 65-70%. That flips for east coast teams playing late on the west coast. But that seems like a messy way to measure this.
