01-16-2013, 01:28 PM
Interesting, thanks. I might like to see the same numbers but only for games against top-10 or top-25 teams.
One of the things we've seen in the past is the point at which you put in the subs. That caps a game at about 25 point differential (for Tara, other coaches may differ), no matter how bad the team, unless the subs push the point total up. And, clearly, that affects a simple average point differential (and point total, and to some extent affects the opponent's points).
Another thing might be to look at the playing time of the top 3 starters, per game.
Finally, this measure is affected by the weakness of our opponents as a group. When the PAC-nn conference was weak, we might have bigger differentials. When we play multiple top-10 teams in the preseason, our differentials will be less.
I also think there are some other effects from this. When we've had a good team that won easily, the subsequent teams should be better than expected as the players have had more time on court (and better practice, presumably). We also should have had more time on court to practice different things, rather than just barely hanging on.
To get a view of widespread changes in WBB, it might be good to see the average point differential for the top 10 teams for each year. (ie, what is the average of the point differentials for the top 10 teams in 1986, in 1987, ...)
One of the things we've seen in the past is the point at which you put in the subs. That caps a game at about 25 point differential (for Tara, other coaches may differ), no matter how bad the team, unless the subs push the point total up. And, clearly, that affects a simple average point differential (and point total, and to some extent affects the opponent's points).
Another thing might be to look at the playing time of the top 3 starters, per game.
Finally, this measure is affected by the weakness of our opponents as a group. When the PAC-nn conference was weak, we might have bigger differentials. When we play multiple top-10 teams in the preseason, our differentials will be less.
I also think there are some other effects from this. When we've had a good team that won easily, the subsequent teams should be better than expected as the players have had more time on court (and better practice, presumably). We also should have had more time on court to practice different things, rather than just barely hanging on.
To get a view of widespread changes in WBB, it might be good to see the average point differential for the top 10 teams for each year. (ie, what is the average of the point differentials for the top 10 teams in 1986, in 1987, ...)