02-05-2014, 02:30 PM
(02-05-2014, 01:12 PM)Boston Card link Wrote:From a statistical perspective, you cannot argue that a 22-29 (which is what we have) is all that different from a coin flip. Yeah, we've lost more close games than would be expected, but if you flipped a coin 51 times, you'd wind up with 22 or fewer heads about 20% of the time (per the binomial distribution). It is hard to argue that this reflects a systematic problem with Dawkins. I'm not defending him; I think his overall performance over a large enough sample size has been deficient enough to warrant a new coach, but I wouldn't use the "close game metric" as an indictment of his coaching.
BC
Perhaps this is a pet peeve of mine. It annoys me no end when I see failed late game execution that squanders a chance to win a game. But even if Dawkins record is within the acceptable range for average performance, I still expect better. I expect better than average.
"We have an unwritten rule around here not to do anything stupid."
-Casey Jacobsen, Feb 3, 2000
