02-11-2014, 08:12 PM
(02-11-2014, 08:05 PM)burger link Wrote:Two #1 seeds and a #2 seed lost in the second round. That's terrible. Yes, there was the elite 8 team, but having 75% of your top-seeded teams fail to reach the second round is ignominious. I'd wager that no other coach has such as a bad record with 1 or 2 seeds.Â
Like Boston Card pointed out, we overachieved a few times, but so have other coaches. Whoever did that quantitative analysis (which I haven't looked for--it's probably still out there someplace if anyone cares to search) concluded that Monty was subpar in the Tourney. I agree.
Getting to the final four as a #3 seed is about as big a surprise to the upside as losing in the second round as a #1 seed. A #2 seed losing in the second round is actually pretty common; it's about as common as getting to the sweet sixteen as a six seed. By simulation, you would not be able to say that Monty's results were so out of whack that they could not be explained by mildly bad luck.
BC
