10-04-2020, 11:59 AM
(10-03-2020, 11:43 PM)teejers1 Wrote:(10-03-2020, 03:36 PM)Farm93 Wrote:(10-03-2020, 03:26 PM)teejers1 Wrote: What do you think will "dominate our nation" for the next decade (other than for 8 of those years, we might have the same, new person as President), assuming he or she does a good enough job to get re-elected?I didn't quite want to state the obvious, but....
Trump lives and it becomes clear he would have tested positive BEFORE the debate if he took the agreed test or worse had already tested positive but the campaign decided he just had to attend using the debate mandated social distancing as the rationale for their action.
Either way...Joe Biden tests COVID19 positive this weekend. Rewinding 4-6 days from that positive would land squarely on Tuesday evening. Therefore the choices by Team Trump on COVID directly impact the political candidate that was super careful but agreed to debate given the testing conditions that were skipped.
Joe Biden then either is very sick or dies. Democrats, with a very sick Presidential candidate or a dead President lose again to COVID surviving Trump perhaps enhanced by Biden's inability to campaign because he is on a ventilator in late-October.
You can guess the chaos from there....
Cheers...
So if Joe Joe makes it to Monday, then the Great Fear will have passed? Is the Great Fear only if Joe theoretically could have contracted Covid from Trump?
As you know, there is ample time for Biden to get Covid pre-election, even if he is careful. Then what? Will we all be paralyzed for the next decade? [I know you don't actually believe that, but the point is to reinforce that life (and the republic) will go on no matter who contracts Covid].
Incubation period is normally 4-6 days, so he needs to get to Monday to get through the normal window. However, there are two caveats.
1) Incubation can take up to 10+ days, so that would be Thursday or Friday.
2) Anyone from Joe's campaign in attendance at the debate could trace their exposure to those mask-free types from team Trump then give it to Joe as a secondary step.
Those two situations leave enough doubt that it would be harder for others to blame Trump even if they feel like the USA's horrible COVID containment efforts impacted Joe's health & campaign.
No matter the source of infection Joe on a ventilator in late October would be a big negative for his campaign. I suspect this is why Joe's mask was upgraded to an N95 mask this weekend. And there will be a lot of requests for Joe to just stay in his basement for the rest of the month.
He could easily claim out of respect for the process he will not campaign in person as long as Trump is physically unable to travel. That would give him the high ground as the healthier candidate, paint Trump as the weak candidate AND allow Joe to stay in the basement for 2-3 weeks at least.
I agree, the United States will survive even with really bad leadership. Past presidents have led after strokes and CHF, so POTUS greatness is not required. However, another 4-8 years of ineffective leadership should be enough for the world to select a different nation to serve as the leader of global initiatives on things like health, climate, economics. Whether that is good or bad would move too far away from COVID IMHO to be on the board here.