02-22-2021, 08:56 PM
Pac-12 Champions!
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Cardinal virtues: prudence, justice, temperance, and fortitude
Cal sucks!
(02-22-2021, 07:54 PM)BostonCard Wrote: Don’t get the ESPN win probability calculator. When we were up 3-0 early in the game, it gave us an 84.7% chance of winning. With a 6-point halftime lead, it gives us an 84.4% chance of winning. Generally speaking, if you are performing as expected, then the win probability should improve over time because there is less time left for the other team to beat us. I don’t think 84% at halftime is low; I’m just surprised how optimistic it was with us holding a 3-0 lead.
Put another way, what is more likely, Arizona out scoring us by at least 7 in 20 minutes or out scoring us by at least 4 in 38 1/2 min?
BC
(02-23-2021, 12:52 AM)BostonCard Wrote: Reading this board, you wouldn't know that we beat the 9th ranked team in the country by double digits, clinched the Pac-12 championship with a game to go, and had one of our most successful Pac-12 seasons in ages, despite playing most of the year with no home court. Moreover, unlike many of the 23(!) other Pac-10/12 championships, we won in one of the most competitive league's we've competed in (with 4 top-15 teams, against whom we went a collective 5-1). I mean, of course there is always room to improve, but I for one am savoring tonight.
By the way, in our last 10 games, we've allowed exactly one to score more than 60 points (Oregon, at 61). We've held 6 of the 10 to under 50 points.
BC
(02-22-2021, 08:44 PM)martyup Wrote: Who's doing all of that chanting? It is maddening.