02-23-2020, 06:18 PM
On P12N. Found a stream: http://newsgratification.com/espnu.html
(02-23-2020, 06:18 PM)SamuelMcF Wrote: On P12N. Found a stream: http://newsgratification.com/espnu.html
(02-23-2020, 06:18 PM)SamuelMcF Wrote: On P12N. Found a stream: http://newsgratification.com/espnu.html
(02-23-2020, 06:29 PM)Ratmandoo Wrote:(02-23-2020, 06:18 PM)SamuelMcF Wrote: On P12N. Found a stream: http://newsgratification.com/espnu.html
The game is on espnU.
(02-23-2020, 06:29 PM)Ratmandoo Wrote:(02-23-2020, 06:18 PM)SamuelMcF Wrote: On P12N. Found a stream: http://newsgratification.com/espnu.html
The game is on espnU.
(02-23-2020, 07:22 PM)SamuelMcF Wrote: Kisunas didn't play well in the 1H, so coach went to Keefe when Da Silva sat. Keefe did nothing, which was better than Kisunas' actively detrimental play.
(02-23-2020, 07:22 PM)SamuelMcF Wrote: Kisunas didn't play well in the 1H, so coach went to Keefe when Da Silva sat. Keefe did nothing, which was better than Kisunas' actively detrimental play.
(02-23-2020, 11:58 PM)bl82 Wrote:(02-23-2020, 07:22 PM)SamuelMcF Wrote: Kisunas didn't play well in the 1H, so coach went to Keefe when Da Silva sat. Keefe did nothing, which was better than Kisunas' actively detrimental play.
If Kisunas and Keefe aren't taking 500 foul line jumpers every day, then something is wrong. If these guys can't shoot or at least drive and can only hand off the ball on the perimeter, they might as well sit.
(02-23-2020, 11:58 PM)bl82 Wrote:(02-23-2020, 07:22 PM)SamuelMcF Wrote: Kisunas didn't play well in the 1H, so coach went to Keefe when Da Silva sat. Keefe did nothing, which was better than Kisunas' actively detrimental play.
If Kisunas and Keefe aren't taking 500 foul line jumpers every day, then something is wrong. If these guys can't shoot or at least drive and can only hand off the ball on the perimeter, they might as well sit.
(02-24-2020, 11:15 AM)burger Wrote: I saw somewhere that we were +30 with DaSilva on the floor yesterday. Since we won by 18, you can imagine what the +/- for the other bigs was.
BTW, does anyone know where you can find +/- for individual players in games? I know where to get box plus minus (which is a calculated statistic), but I'd love to see actual +/- for our guys.
(02-24-2020, 11:15 AM)burger Wrote: I saw somewhere that we were +30 with DaSilva on the floor yesterday. Since we won by 18, you can imagine what the +/- for the other bigs was.
BTW, does anyone know where you can find +/- for individual players in games? I know where to get box plus minus (which is a calculated statistic), but I'd love to see actual +/- for our guys.
(02-24-2020, 02:45 PM)burger Wrote: Thanks, @SamuelMcF, but I found the real thing at hoop-explorer.com. This is my new favorite site on the internet :)
And it is exactly what I expected (and feared):
With the starting 5 on the court (Jones, Terry, Da Silva, Davis, Wills) we are +23.8 points per 100 possessions, which is outstanding. All other lineups, including up to 4 starters, are +9.6 per 100 possessions. So, subbing out a single starter makes us far worse.
Individual net ratings per 100 possessions by player:
Davis: +15.3 on, +2.2 off, difference +13.1
Da Silva: +17.7 on, +2.9 off, difference +14.8
Wills: +17.1 on, +3.1 off, difference +14.0
Terry: +13.9 on, +8.6 off, difference +5.3 (?!)
Jones: +15.6 on, +5.1 off, difference +10.5
White: +6.3 on, +16.2 off, difference -9.9 (did not expect that)
Kisunas: +9.2 on, +14.1 off, difference -4.9
Delaire: +7.5 on, +16.3 off, difference -8.8
Keefe: +11.4 on, +13.1 off, difference -2.7
These are not adjusted for teammate effects, so take with extra salt. If I get more time later, I will break this down by offense and defense. If you hit the lineup analyzer button, you can see the performance of all the commonly used 5 person groupings.
(02-24-2020, 02:45 PM)burger Wrote: Thanks, @SamuelMcF, but I found the real thing at hoop-explorer.com. This is my new favorite site on the internet :)
And it is exactly what I expected (and feared):
With the starting 5 on the court (Jones, Terry, Da Silva, Davis, Wills) we are +23.8 points per 100 possessions, which is outstanding. All other lineups, including up to 4 starters, are +9.6 per 100 possessions. So, subbing out a single starter makes us far worse.
Individual net ratings per 100 possessions by player:
Davis: +15.3 on, +2.2 off, difference +13.1
Da Silva: +17.7 on, +2.9 off, difference +14.8
Wills: +17.1 on, +3.1 off, difference +14.0
Terry: +13.9 on, +8.6 off, difference +5.3 (?!)
Jones: +15.6 on, +5.1 off, difference +10.5
White: +6.3 on, +16.2 off, difference -9.9 (did not expect that)
Kisunas: +9.2 on, +14.1 off, difference -4.9
Delaire: +7.5 on, +16.3 off, difference -8.8
Keefe: +11.4 on, +13.1 off, difference -2.7
These are not adjusted for teammate effects, so take with extra salt. If I get more time later, I will break this down by offense and defense. If you hit the lineup analyzer button, you can see the performance of all the commonly used 5 person groupings.
(02-24-2020, 04:23 PM)teejers1 Wrote: These numbers are useful, but not terribly enlightening. So many factors go into plus/minus (most notably, who else is on the floor). If multiple subs are in for starters, then that crew, by definition, likely will do less well. OTOH, if you could control for just one sub and rotate with each sub a 4-person group of starters, then you might get more useful data.
I don't like to second-guess subbing by coaches because so many factors go into it (foul trouble, match-ups, fatigue of particular player on particular day, how well they practiced, etc.). But I do have one criticism of Haase: he should eschew having both Da Silva and Terry on the bench at the same time. When both are on the bench, Stanford is lacking scorers, and the Cardinal seems to hit a lull.
(02-24-2020, 04:23 PM)teejers1 Wrote: These numbers are useful, but not terribly enlightening. So many factors go into plus/minus (most notably, who else is on the floor). If multiple subs are in for starters, then that crew, by definition, likely will do less well. OTOH, if you could control for just one sub and rotate with each sub a 4-person group of starters, then you might get more useful data.
I don't like to second-guess subbing by coaches because so many factors go into it (foul trouble, match-ups, fatigue of particular player on particular day, how well they practiced, etc.). But I do have one criticism of Haase: he should eschew having both Da Silva and Terry on the bench at the same time. When both are on the bench, Stanford is lacking scorers, and the Cardinal seems to hit a lull.
(02-24-2020, 05:34 PM)burger Wrote:(02-24-2020, 04:23 PM)teejers1 Wrote: These numbers are useful, but not terribly enlightening. So many factors go into plus/minus (most notably, who else is on the floor). If multiple subs are in for starters, then that crew, by definition, likely will do less well. OTOH, if you could control for just one sub and rotate with each sub a 4-person group of starters, then you might get more useful data.
I don't like to second-guess subbing by coaches because so many factors go into it (foul trouble, match-ups, fatigue of particular player on particular day, how well they practiced, etc.). But I do have one criticism of Haase: he should eschew having both Da Silva and Terry on the bench at the same time. When both are on the bench, Stanford is lacking scorers, and the Cardinal seems to hit a lull.
I think you missed this point above: "With the starting 5 on the court (Jones, Terry, Da Silva, Davis, Wills) we are +23.8 points per 100 possessions, which is outstanding. All other lineups, including up to 4 starters, are +9.6 per 100 possessions. So, subbing out a single starter makes us far worse." There may be some 4-person combos that are better than other, but on average the team takes a big step down with any bench guy in. We need more depth--hopefully that's coming next year.
(02-24-2020, 05:34 PM)burger Wrote:(02-24-2020, 04:23 PM)teejers1 Wrote: These numbers are useful, but not terribly enlightening. So many factors go into plus/minus (most notably, who else is on the floor). If multiple subs are in for starters, then that crew, by definition, likely will do less well. OTOH, if you could control for just one sub and rotate with each sub a 4-person group of starters, then you might get more useful data.
I don't like to second-guess subbing by coaches because so many factors go into it (foul trouble, match-ups, fatigue of particular player on particular day, how well they practiced, etc.). But I do have one criticism of Haase: he should eschew having both Da Silva and Terry on the bench at the same time. When both are on the bench, Stanford is lacking scorers, and the Cardinal seems to hit a lull.
I think you missed this point above: "With the starting 5 on the court (Jones, Terry, Da Silva, Davis, Wills) we are +23.8 points per 100 possessions, which is outstanding. All other lineups, including up to 4 starters, are +9.6 per 100 possessions. So, subbing out a single starter makes us far worse." There may be some 4-person combos that are better than other, but on average the team takes a big step down with any bench guy in. We need more depth--hopefully that's coming next year.
(02-24-2020, 09:58 PM)teejers1 Wrote: Is +9.6 bad? (I thought that was pretty good).I'll put it this way: if we played the way our starters (as a unit) do for 40 minutes a game, we'd be 2nd in Division I on Ken Pomeroy's rankings. If we averaged the +9.6 overall, we'd be around 50th in Division I, with NIT as our likely ceiling.
(02-24-2020, 09:58 PM)teejers1 Wrote: Is +9.6 bad? (I thought that was pretty good).I'll put it this way: if we played the way our starters (as a unit) do for 40 minutes a game, we'd be 2nd in Division I on Ken Pomeroy's rankings. If we averaged the +9.6 overall, we'd be around 50th in Division I, with NIT as our likely ceiling.