[BostonCard]

Interesting analysis from the NY Times:

https://www.nytimes.com/2020/12/11/sport...74f24220a2

Corrected link: https://www.nytimes.com/2020/12/12/us/co...74f24220a2

But since the end of August, deaths from the coronavirus have doubled in counties with a large college population, compared with a 58 percent increase in the rest of the nation. Few of the victims were college students, but rather older people and others living and working in the community.

The times defines "large college population" as counties where college students comprise at least 10% of the population.  While the students themselves were low enough risk that outbreaks within a school were generally not a problem, it was always somewhat fanciful that an outbreak could be contained within a school. Even a university as segregated as Stanford would have had enough interaction between the students and the broader community to place the surrounding community at risk.

BC

[BostonCard]

Interesting analysis from the NY Times:

https://www.nytimes.com/2020/12/11/sport...74f24220a2

Corrected link: https://www.nytimes.com/2020/12/12/us/co...74f24220a2

But since the end of August, deaths from the coronavirus have doubled in counties with a large college population, compared with a 58 percent increase in the rest of the nation. Few of the victims were college students, but rather older people and others living and working in the community.

The times defines "large college population" as counties where college students comprise at least 10% of the population.  While the students themselves were low enough risk that outbreaks within a school were generally not a problem, it was always somewhat fanciful that an outbreak could be contained within a school. Even a university as segregated as Stanford would have had enough interaction between the students and the broader community to place the surrounding community at risk.

BC

[M T]

Has that sentence been struck?  When I go to that URL (I'm not a paid subscriber, so that may matter), I don't find that sentence (for instance, "58" occurs twice but not in such a sentence).  There was no data presented relevant to that claim.  The article was about the number of cases at the schools, not deaths in the community.

[M T]

Has that sentence been struck?  When I go to that URL (I'm not a paid subscriber, so that may matter), I don't find that sentence (for instance, "58" occurs twice but not in such a sentence).  There was no data presented relevant to that claim.  The article was about the number of cases at the schools, not deaths in the community.

[BostonCard]

Thanks for noticing, I linked the wrong article (the one about cases in athletic departments, which I added to the existing thread on college football.  Here's the correct link:

https://www.nytimes.com/2020/12/12/us/co...74f24220a2

The quote is in the fourth paragraph.

BC

[BostonCard]

Thanks for noticing, I linked the wrong article (the one about cases in athletic departments, which I added to the existing thread on college football.  Here's the correct link:

https://www.nytimes.com/2020/12/12/us/co...74f24220a2

The quote is in the fourth paragraph.

BC

[M T]

Interesting read.  Definitely filled with single instances and vague connections, but the statistic you quoted seems real and indicative of the problems caused by colleges resuming in-person classes.

A corollary is that when the students go home, disease & deaths will spike at the aggregation of their homes.  That won't be so easy to measure as you can't point to a limited set of counties.

Faucci was concerned about a disease that was transferred before any symptoms.  It seems one should also fear a disease where one set of the populace, esp. a mobile subset, feels invincible to the disease.

Now, consider the same principle applied to K-12 attendance.

[M T]

Interesting read.  Definitely filled with single instances and vague connections, but the statistic you quoted seems real and indicative of the problems caused by colleges resuming in-person classes.

A corollary is that when the students go home, disease & deaths will spike at the aggregation of their homes.  That won't be so easy to measure as you can't point to a limited set of counties.

Faucci was concerned about a disease that was transferred before any symptoms.  It seems one should also fear a disease where one set of the populace, esp. a mobile subset, feels invincible to the disease.

Now, consider the same principle applied to K-12 attendance.

[BostonCard]

The single biggest metric correlated to rate of increase ® for COVID-19 is distance away from home.  The further (collectively) we travel, the more COVID-19 spreads.  There was something to the SCC health ordinance asking people to quarantine if they travel more than 150 miles.  Sure, there is nothing magical about 150 miles, but you have to set a threshold somewhere.

BC

[BostonCard]

The single biggest metric correlated to rate of increase ® for COVID-19 is distance away from home.  The further (collectively) we travel, the more COVID-19 spreads.  There was something to the SCC health ordinance asking people to quarantine if they travel more than 150 miles.  Sure, there is nothing magical about 150 miles, but you have to set a threshold somewhere.

BC