09-14-2023, 08:27 PM
I'm not into superheroes, but back during the Obama administration, Brenden Nyhan, a political scientist at Dartmouth coined the phrase to push back at the belief, particularly strong among leftist circles at the time, that the president (Obama at the time) can achieve any political or policy objective if only he tries hard enough. The idea harkened to the Green Lantern corps, whose members get a power ring capable of creating green energy projections of almost unlimited power, constrained only by the willpower and imagination of the ring's wearer.
Now, this is most definitely not meant to be a discussion of the Green Lantern Theory of the President, which is beyond the rules of the board, but rather a fact that I see a similar belief pop up around sports fans. Basically, the idea (maybe we can call it the Cardinal Lantern Theory of Stanford Sports) that the only thing that is constraining success for our sports teams is the willpower and imagination of the school administration, and that if we adequately commit to success we should be competing for a national title in pretty much every sport every year (especially football).
The problem with this theory is that fans of every team feel the same way. Calfan feels that the only reason that the Bears are not competing for a national title in every sport every year is because of inadequate commitment in the administration (they might have a point, to a degree). Clearly the gazillionaires bankrolling SMU's entry into the ACC feel the same about that school. Hell, I've seen delusional OSU, WSU and fans of G5 schools who believe that their teams ought to be good enough to compete for a championship. "If school X (eg Boise State) can do it, why can't we", is the mantra.
The obvious fallacy is that not every school can compete for a national title in a given year, let alone most years. In fact, unlike Lake Wobegon, by definition only half of the teams can even be above average, and in any given year less than 10% of teams have a legitimate chance for a title.
I was prompted to think of this in the thread about joining the ACC, and the implication that if we are going so far as to fly cross country to compete, that we ought to do "whatever it takes" to do so successfully. The truth is that the real world is one of tradeoffs, and even most fans probably have limits on how far they would go. Matt kind of snuck it in there, but it is kind of concerning that at least three players from the recent golden era (2009 - 2015) subsequently were busted for PEDs in the NFL (a fourth, Richard Sherman, had his ruling reversed on appeal). Now, as far as I know, no one was ever found to use PEDs while at Stanford, and even if they had, that might not have been because of a systemic effort by the training or coaching staff. Nonetheless, a cynic might say that the dramatic improvement between 2006 and 2010 might have been chemically aided and that the drop-off that occurred between 2015 and 2019 might simply have been less rampant steroid use. I'd like to think that nobody would be on board if commitment to success meant widespread use of PEDs.
Even stuff that isn't out and out illegal can sit poorly with certain stakeholders within the organization or broader community. For me, the breaking point was the efflux of transfers without degrees, not just football (and mens basketball) but recently in women's basketball and swimming. Given the value that most students place on their degree even when it is not free (something like 97% of students graduate), it is a big black mark for me that a substantial number of student athletes don't value it the way other students do. Given that undergraduate enrollment is constrained by on campus housing and because of the tantrum that Palo Alto would throw if we were to dramatically expand enrollment, there is a bit of a zero sum game involved. I don't think reserving about 12% of the spots for athletes is excessive, but I start to become sour when substantial numbers of them don't graduate.
My point is that there is a very broad swath between abandoning athletics altogether and doing whatever it takes to be successful, and I think that our decisions on things like admissions bars, incoming transfers, NIL, etc. should be guided not just by whether it demonstrates a commitment to win, but also whether it is consistent with the overall mission of the school. And while it is easy to say that we should be excellent in everything we do, the truth is that we cannot. Stanford has a very nice art museum, but the collection is limited. Stanford has a lovely concert hall, but it is not world class. Stanford used to have a premier shopping center, but it sold it (minus the land it sits on, which it cannot sell) 20 years ago. Stanford operates a linear accelerator, but it is not the large hadron collider. Stanford cannot be all things to all people, nor should it.
BC
Now, this is most definitely not meant to be a discussion of the Green Lantern Theory of the President, which is beyond the rules of the board, but rather a fact that I see a similar belief pop up around sports fans. Basically, the idea (maybe we can call it the Cardinal Lantern Theory of Stanford Sports) that the only thing that is constraining success for our sports teams is the willpower and imagination of the school administration, and that if we adequately commit to success we should be competing for a national title in pretty much every sport every year (especially football).
The problem with this theory is that fans of every team feel the same way. Calfan feels that the only reason that the Bears are not competing for a national title in every sport every year is because of inadequate commitment in the administration (they might have a point, to a degree). Clearly the gazillionaires bankrolling SMU's entry into the ACC feel the same about that school. Hell, I've seen delusional OSU, WSU and fans of G5 schools who believe that their teams ought to be good enough to compete for a championship. "If school X (eg Boise State) can do it, why can't we", is the mantra.
The obvious fallacy is that not every school can compete for a national title in a given year, let alone most years. In fact, unlike Lake Wobegon, by definition only half of the teams can even be above average, and in any given year less than 10% of teams have a legitimate chance for a title.
I was prompted to think of this in the thread about joining the ACC, and the implication that if we are going so far as to fly cross country to compete, that we ought to do "whatever it takes" to do so successfully. The truth is that the real world is one of tradeoffs, and even most fans probably have limits on how far they would go. Matt kind of snuck it in there, but it is kind of concerning that at least three players from the recent golden era (2009 - 2015) subsequently were busted for PEDs in the NFL (a fourth, Richard Sherman, had his ruling reversed on appeal). Now, as far as I know, no one was ever found to use PEDs while at Stanford, and even if they had, that might not have been because of a systemic effort by the training or coaching staff. Nonetheless, a cynic might say that the dramatic improvement between 2006 and 2010 might have been chemically aided and that the drop-off that occurred between 2015 and 2019 might simply have been less rampant steroid use. I'd like to think that nobody would be on board if commitment to success meant widespread use of PEDs.
Even stuff that isn't out and out illegal can sit poorly with certain stakeholders within the organization or broader community. For me, the breaking point was the efflux of transfers without degrees, not just football (and mens basketball) but recently in women's basketball and swimming. Given the value that most students place on their degree even when it is not free (something like 97% of students graduate), it is a big black mark for me that a substantial number of student athletes don't value it the way other students do. Given that undergraduate enrollment is constrained by on campus housing and because of the tantrum that Palo Alto would throw if we were to dramatically expand enrollment, there is a bit of a zero sum game involved. I don't think reserving about 12% of the spots for athletes is excessive, but I start to become sour when substantial numbers of them don't graduate.
My point is that there is a very broad swath between abandoning athletics altogether and doing whatever it takes to be successful, and I think that our decisions on things like admissions bars, incoming transfers, NIL, etc. should be guided not just by whether it demonstrates a commitment to win, but also whether it is consistent with the overall mission of the school. And while it is easy to say that we should be excellent in everything we do, the truth is that we cannot. Stanford has a very nice art museum, but the collection is limited. Stanford has a lovely concert hall, but it is not world class. Stanford used to have a premier shopping center, but it sold it (minus the land it sits on, which it cannot sell) 20 years ago. Stanford operates a linear accelerator, but it is not the large hadron collider. Stanford cannot be all things to all people, nor should it.
BC

