(11-27-2023, 04:53 PM)jacket3ree Wrote: Yes, the portal messes up all predictions - for Stanford and its 2024 opponents - but doing this the old-fashioned way with an eye test based on this year, and my eyes have been all over the ACC and I watched Navy get smoked by SMU:
Next year's conference games:
1. Louisville. They looked awfully good most of the time this year, although not dominant, sans an inexplicable loss to Pitt and they should have been able to beat Kentucky. How they do against FSU and an X-string QB will be interesting. Probably an Orange Bowl team. The plural Cardinals are superior to the singular Card. (Loss)
2. SMU. Dykes is gone and SMU is better, but that could be a function of conference defections. This year the Mustangs are 10-2 pending their AAC title game against Tulane. They obliterated Navy in the only game of theirs I watched. Big oil money will pump their NIL and now that they are P5, I project a Texas-sized presence in the ACC. They will need it because their schedule just got a lot tougher. (Loss)
3. Virginia Polytechnic and State University. Call them "Tech" and I will come at you like a spider monkey! Pry is getting the Hokies back to where they used to be, based on defense. It was an up and down year - they beat no one of note after a rough start and UVA turned the sprinklers on them. They had no trouble with the Cavs in C'Ville though. (Next year's Colorado; a surprising win to give false hope, albeit much closer than that Orange Bowl in second half.)
4. Wake Forest. They have a good coach, but lost Hartman to a graduate school in Indiana and did not recover from that. Can never figure these guys out other than their annual marshmallow-soft non-conference schedule means you can never figure these guys out. Lone conference win was at home against garbage Pitt. What the heck is going on with Pitt this year? (Win. Why not?)
5. Cal. Sorry to say this, but Cal is for real once they started Mendoza and got out of their own way. Big Game streak stretches to four. (Loss)
6. Clemson. They are never mediocre for very long and they weren't that mediocre. Death in Death Valley. Ugly. Dabo liked Shaw, not Taylor. (Loss)
7. NC State. This is a good team. (Loss)
8. Syracuse. Schizo mess. Depends on who replaces Dino. On the road indoors. (Loss)
So I predict an ACC record of 2-6, losses to the Frogs, Irish, and Sparta, and Taylor doesn't let Cal Poly Sac State his team. Another 3-9 doldrum season in an empty stadium with raging debates about moral victories and whether this is a waste of time or not.
Ugh
Reading this makes me want to commit Hari Kari leaving a note begging for my body to be buried by the Tunnels Worker Union.
While I don't dispute your predictions for the most part, I think Syracuse and Sparta are not that great of teams and eminently beatable by our guys.
Win one of those and is a baby steps improvement season.
Win both and is arguably a "successful season" in terms of being part way through a rebuild.
Of course some perception will depend too on the losses, are they blowout beatdowns or close and competitive?
In this just passed season, the Arizona and Washington games still hurt as losses, but the consolation was a "we can play with these guys".
OK that's just a moral victory, of which that and $5 buys you a latte at Starbucks.
But still far better than the joke beatdown losses that make you think we'd better schedule more teams with a compass direction in their name, like Northern, Eastern, etc... which Oh, by the way, hasn't worked out that well for our MBB team, but that's another thread...